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Caravaggio vs Juventus SC Prediction— Brazil - Catarinense - 2

Regular Season - 18 ·Saturday, July 25, 2026, 18:00

Caravaggio

PPG 2.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

Juventus SC

PPG 0.88 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

xG gap +1.86 for Home, form 2.00 vs 0.88 - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.8%0-12.7%0-20.9%0-30.2%0-4+0.0%1 1-09.8%1-16.9%1-22.4%1-30.6%1-4+0.1%2 2-012.5%2-18.8%2-23.1%2-30.7%2-4+0.1%3 3-010.7%3-17.5%3-22.7%3-30.6%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-012.7%4+-18.9%4+-23.1%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 70.9% — — —

Draw 18.1% — — —

Away win 10.9% — — —

Over 2.5 63.7% — — —

Over 3.5 41.3% — — —

BTTS 52.3% — — —

Home O1.5 63.3% — — —

Away O1.5 20.1% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 5 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 20%

O2.5 40%

BTTS 60%

Score Hit 20%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 56%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.6 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob52.3%

H 71% / xG 2.6-0.7 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 12.5%

#2 3–0 10.7%

#3 2–1 8.8%

#4 1–0 9.8%

#5 1–1 6.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Caravaggio2.6

Juventus SC0.7

COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.7% · O3.5 PROB 41.3%

Form & verdict PPG

CARAVAGGIO · PPG 2.00

JUVENTUS SC · PPG 0.88

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +1.86 for Home, form 2.00 vs 0.88 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Caravaggio (H) 70.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 18.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Juventus SC (A) 10.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Caravaggio face Juventus SC in Brazil - Catarinense - 2 on Saturday, July 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Caravaggio a 71% chance, the draw 18% and Juventus SC 11%, so Caravaggio are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.6 for Caravaggio and 0.7 for Juventus SC (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Caravaggio are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 0.88 for Juventus SC.

Caravaggio vs Juventus SC Prediction— Brazil - Catarinense - 2

Match Preview & Prediction

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