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Suwon Bluewings vs Seongnam Prediction— South-Korea - K League 2

Regular Season - 16 ·Saturday, July 4, 2026, 10:30

Suwon Bluewings

PPG 2.00 · HOME

1 – 0

FULL TIME

Seongnam

PPG 1.50 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-014.7%0-110.9%0-24.0%0-31.0%0-4+0.2%1 1-017.3%1-112.8%1-24.7%1-31.2%1-4+0.3%2 2-010.2%2-17.5%2-22.8%2-30.7%2-4+0.1%3 3-04.0%3-13.0%3-21.1%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.5%4+-11.1%4+-20.4%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 47.9% 51.3% 1.95 -6.6%

Draw 28.6% 31.3% 3.20 -5.1%

Away win 23.5% 26.0% 3.85 -5.7%

Over 2.5 44.3% 44.4% 2.25 -0.3%

Over 3.5 23.4% 25.0% 4.00 -3.8%

BTTS 48.5% 51.3% 1.95 -5.4%

Home O1.5 35.2% 45.5% 2.20 -22.6%

Away O1.5 22.5% 26.3% 3.80 -8.7%

League track record ↗

Based on 4 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 75%

O2.5 100%

BTTS 75%

Score Hit 75%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 32%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-0

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob48.5%

H 48% / xG 1.2-0.7 / U2.5 44% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 14.7%

#2 1–0✓ 17.3%

#3 1–1 12.8%

#4 2–0 10.2%

#5 0–1 10.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Suwon Bluewings1.2

Seongnam0.7

COMBINED 1.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 44.3% · O3.5 PROB 23.4%

Form & verdict PPG

SUWON BLUEWINGS · PPG 2.00

SEONGNAM · PPG 1.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.00) > Away GOOD (1.50)

Win probability 1X2

Suwon Bluewings (H) 47.9%

ODDS 1.95 · IMPLIED 51.3% EV -6.6%

Draw 28.6%

ODDS 3.20 · IMPLIED 31.3% EV -5.1%

Seongnam (A) 23.5%

ODDS 3.85 · IMPLIED 26.0% EV -5.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

Suwon Bluewings face Seongnam in South-Korea - K League 2 on Saturday, July 4, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Suwon Bluewings a 48% chance, the draw 29% and Seongnam 24%, so Suwon Bluewings are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Suwon Bluewings and 0.7 for Seongnam (1.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Suwon Bluewings are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 1.50 for Seongnam. This match finished 1-0.

Suwon Bluewings vs Seongnam Prediction— South-Korea - K League 2

Match Preview & Prediction

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