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I. Petrolero vs Real Potosí Prediction— Bolivia - Primera División

Apertura - 9 ·Saturday, June 13, 2026, 19:00

I. Petrolero

PPG 1.75 · HOME

UPCOMING

Real Potosí

PPG 0.67 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-015.4%0-112.0%0-24.7%0-31.2%0-4+0.3%1 1-016.8%1-113.1%1-25.1%1-31.3%1-4+0.3%2 2-09.1%2-17.1%2-22.8%2-30.7%2-4+0.2%3 3-03.3%3-12.6%3-21.0%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.1%4+-10.9%4+-20.3%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelOddsEV

Home win 45.0% 1.55 -30.3%

Draw 31.5% 4.00 +26.0%

Away win 23.5% 4.80 +7.7%

Over 2.5 37.8% 1.55 -41.4%

Over 3.5 18.9% 2.38 -33.0%

BTTS 47.8% 1.57 -24.9%

Win probability 1X2

I. Petrolero (H) 45.0%

ODDS 1.55 · IMPLIED 64.5% EV -30.3%

Draw 31.5%

ODDS 4.00 · IMPLIED 25.0% EV +26.0%

Real Potosí (A) 23.5%

ODDS 4.80 · IMPLIED 20.8% EV +7.7%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 36%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob47.8%

H 45% / xG 1.1-0.8 / U2.5 38% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 15.4%

#2 1–1 13.1%

#3 1–0 16.8%

#4 0–1 12.0%

#5 2–0 9.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

I. Petrolero1.1

Real Potosí0.8

COMBINED 1.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 37.8% · O3.5 PROB 18.9%

Form & verdict PPG

I. PETROLERO · PPG 1.75

REAL POTOSÍ · PPG 0.67

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.75) vs P(Home)=45.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

I. Petrolero face Real Potosí in Bolivia - Primera División on Saturday, June 13, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives I. Petrolero a 45% chance, the draw 32% and Real Potosí 24%, so I. Petrolero are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for I. Petrolero and 0.8 for Real Potosí (1.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 38% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, I. Petrolero are averaging 1.75 points per game versus 0.67 for Real Potosí. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +26.0%.

I. Petrolero vs Real Potosí Prediction— Bolivia - Primera División

Match Preview & Prediction

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