Nocerina vs Flaminia Prediction— Italy - Serie D - Girone G

Italy - Serie D - Girone G Group G - 32 Stadio San Francesco· Nocera Inferiore Sunday, April 19, 2026 13:00

Nocerina PPG 1.13

1-1 HIT CS2

Flaminia PPG 1.73

Away· +9.5% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity

66% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Nocerina face Flaminia in Italy - Serie D - Girone G on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Nocerina a 31% chance, the draw 30% and Flaminia 39%, so Flaminia are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Nocerina and 1.1 for Flaminia (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 42% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Nocerina are averaging 1.13 points per game versus 1.73 for Flaminia. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +9.5%. This match finished 1-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 30.9%

Odds: 2.25 EV: -30.5%

Draw 30.0%

Odds: 3.20 EV: -4.0%

Away 39.1%

Odds: 2.80 EV: +9.5%

Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 34.6% Odds: 2.05 -29.1%

Over 3.5 15.8% Odds: — —

BTTS 41.7% Odds: — —

O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-1 ✘

2nd 1-1 ✔

3rd 0-0 ✘

4th 1-0 ✘

5th 0-2 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Nocerina

0.96

Flaminia

1.12

Model SuggestionNo Bet  NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 24 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5/Under 71%

BTTS/No 54%

Score Hit 42%

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity

66%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.73) vs Home AVERAGE (1.13)