Paulista - A2

BRAZIL · 3 MATCHES TRACKED · 15 APR 2026 – 15 APR 2026

● LOW SAMPLE

FEWER THAN 10 SETTLED PICKS — NO VERDICT YET

// Model accuracy

How often the model's probability calls were right — graded on all 3 resolved matches, whether or not a bet was published.

66.7%

1X2

2/3

33.3%

O/U 2.5

1/3

33.3%

BTTS

1/3

66.7%

Exact score

2/3

// Published picks

Picks that met publication thresholds, settled at listed odds with a flat 1-unit stake. Separate from raw model accuracy on the left.

Settled

33.3%

Hit rate

1/3

2.28

Avg odds

-28.3%

ROI

-0.8u

Picks by market

FLAT 1U · BREAK-EVEN AT IMPLIED % MARKED ▎· SMALL SAMPLES — READ WITH CARE

OVER 2.5 · N=3 33.3% HIT · AVG 2.28 · -28.3% ROI

Picks by verdict tier

VERDICTS NORMALIZED INTO CONFIDENCE TIERS · LOW-CONFIDENCE FLAG OVERRIDES

🎯 Strong bet

Bets

Hit

-100.0%

ROI

✓ Solid

Bets

100%

Hit

+115.0%

ROI

✓ Fair / Caution

Bets

Hit

-100.0%

ROI

Match log

3 RESOLVED · GROUPED BY MONTH · — MEANS NO PICK PUBLISHED

DateMatchPickEVFTResult

April 2026 // 3 PICKS · 1 HIT · 2 MISS

15 APR Agua Santa vs XV Piracicaba Over 2.5 +38% 0–1 MISS 15 APR Ferroviaria vs Juventus Over 2.5 +57% 1–0 MISS 15 APR Ituano vs Votuporanguense Over 2.5 +40% 2–1 HIT