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Hong-Kong - Premier League
Championship Group - 2
North District Sports Ground· Hongkong
Saturday, April 25, 2026
07:00
North District
PPG 1.67
2-2
MISS
Kitchee
PPG 2.78
Over3.5· +11.8%
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity
66% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
16.7%
Odds: 4.10
EV: -31.5%
Draw
16.9%
Odds: 3.90
EV: -34.1%
Away
66.4%
Odds: 1.67
EV: +10.9%
Model lean:
Over 2.5
Result: Draw ✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
75.7%
Odds: 1.42
+7.5%
Over 3.5
55.9%
Odds: 2.00
+11.8%
BTTS
67.7%
Odds: 1.40
-5.2%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔
BTTS YES → YES ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st
1-2
✘
2nd
1-3
✘
3rd
0-2
✘
4th
1-1
✘
5th
0-3
✘
Expected Goals (xG)
North District
1.30
Kitchee
2.66
Model Suggestion
Over 2.5
+7.5%
ROI TRACKS: Over 2.5
Tracked ROI market:
Over 2.5.
Raw EV leader:
Over3.5(+11.8%)
League Track Record
↗
Based on 16 resolved predictions
1X2 Acc
25%
O2.5/Under
69%
BTTS/No
75%
Score Hit
19%
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity
66%
UPSET_VALUE
Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.78) vs Home GOOD (1.67)