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Herentals vs Bulawayo Chiefs Prediction— Zimbabwe - Premier Soccer League

Matchday 28 ·Friday, September 4, 2026, 13:00

Herentals

PPG 1.85 · HOME

LAST 5

WWWLW

2 – 1

FULL TIME

Bulawayo Chiefs

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

LAST 5

LWWDL

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-011.0%0-18.1%0-23.0%0-30.7%0-4+0.2%1 1-016.1%1-111.9%1-24.4%1-31.1%1-4+0.2%2 2-011.9%2-18.8%2-23.2%2-30.8%2-4+0.2%3 3-05.8%3-14.3%3-21.6%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-03.0%4+-12.2%4+-20.8%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 50.1% — — —

Draw 27.3% — — —

Away win 22.6% — — —

Over 2.5 43.0% — — —

Over 3.5 23.2% — — —

BTTS 48.0% — — —

Home O1.5 39.9% — — —

Away O1.5 18.8% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 38 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 55%

O2.5 74%

BTTS 66%

Score Hit 68%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 16.1%

#2 1–1 11.9%

#3 0–0 11.0%

#4 2–0 11.9%

#5 0–1 8.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Herentals1.5

Bulawayo Chiefs0.7

COMBINED 2.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 43.0% · O3.5 PROB 23.2%

Form & verdict PPG

HERENTALS · PPG 1.85

BULAWAYO CHIEFS · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

Chance this pick lands

50%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.73 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Herentals (H) 50.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 27.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Bulawayo Chiefs (A) 22.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Herentals face Bulawayo Chiefs in Zimbabwe - Premier Soccer League on Friday, September 4, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Herentals a 50% chance, the draw 27% and Bulawayo Chiefs 23%, so Herentals are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Herentals and 0.7 for Bulawayo Chiefs (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 43% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Herentals are averaging 1.85 points per game versus 1.00 for Bulawayo Chiefs. This match finished 2-1.

Herentals vs Bulawayo Chiefs Prediction— Zimbabwe - Premier Soccer League

Match Preview & Prediction

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