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CAPS United vs Dynamos Prediction— Zimbabwe - Premier Soccer League

Matchday 28 ·Saturday, September 5, 2026, 13:00

CAPS United

PPG 1.92 · HOME

UPCOMING

Dynamos

PPG 1.85 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-011.8%0-112.2%0-26.3%0-32.2%0-4+0.7%1 1-013.0%1-113.5%1-27.0%1-32.4%1-4+0.8%2 2-07.2%2-17.4%2-23.8%2-31.3%2-4+0.4%3 3-02.6%3-12.7%3-21.4%3-30.5%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-00.9%4+-10.9%4+-20.5%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 39.9% 43.5% 2.30 -8.2%

Draw 29.6% 36.4% 2.75 -11.2%

Away win 30.5% 31.3% 3.20 -2.4%

Over 2.5 42.7% 36.4% 2.75 +17.4%

Over 3.5 20.9% 18.9% 5.30 +6.5%

BTTS 48.3% 45.9% 2.18 +5.3%

Home O1.5 30.8% 35.8% 2.79 -14.1%

Away O1.5 32.2% 28.6% 3.50 +12.7%

League track record ↗

Based on 38 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 55%

O2.5 74%

BTTS 66%

Score Hit 68%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 37%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob48.3%

D 30% / xG 1.1-1.0 / U2.5 43% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.5%

#2 1–0 13.0%

#3 0–0 11.8%

#4 0–1 12.2%

#5 2–1 7.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

CAPS United1.1

Dynamos1.0

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 42.7% · O3.5 PROB 20.9%

Form & verdict PPG

CAPS UNITED · PPG 1.92

DYNAMOS · PPG 1.85

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected

Chance this pick lands

48%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.07, combined xG 2.13 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

CAPS United (H) 39.9%

ODDS 2.30 · IMPLIED 43.5% EV -8.2%

Draw 29.6%

ODDS 2.75 · IMPLIED 36.4% EV -11.2%

Dynamos (A) 30.5%

ODDS 3.20 · IMPLIED 31.3% EV -2.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

CAPS United face Dynamos in Zimbabwe - Premier Soccer League on Saturday, September 5, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives CAPS United a 40% chance, the draw 30% and Dynamos 31%, so CAPS United are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for CAPS United and 1.0 for Dynamos (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 43% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, CAPS United are averaging 1.92 points per game versus 1.85 for Dynamos. The best value bet our model finds is over 2.5 goals, with an expected value of +17.4%.

CAPS United vs Dynamos Prediction— Zimbabwe - Premier Soccer League

Match Preview & Prediction

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