Today / Zimbabwe - Premier Soccer League / Highlanders vs Herentals

Highlanders vs Herentals Prediction— Zimbabwe - Premier Soccer League

Matchday 27 ·Sunday, August 23, 2026, 13:00

Highlanders

PPG 1.54 · HOME

LAST 5

WLLDW

2 – 0

FULL TIME

Herentals

PPG 1.62 · AWAY

LAST 5

LWWWL

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-020.1%0-114.3%0-25.1%0-31.2%0-4+0.2%1 1-018.0%1-112.8%1-24.5%1-31.1%1-4+0.2%2 2-08.0%2-15.7%2-22.0%2-30.5%2-4+0.1%3 3-02.4%3-11.7%3-20.6%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.6%4+-10.5%4+-20.2%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 35.7% 42.0% 2.38 -15.0%

Draw 33.4% 37.0% 2.70 -9.8%

Away win 30.9% 32.3% 3.10 -4.2%

Over 2.5 34.5% 33.3% 3.00 +3.5%

Over 3.5 18.2% 15.9% 6.30 +8.8%

BTTS 43.6% 43.3% 2.31 +0.7%

Home O1.5 30.6% 31.1% 3.22 -1.5%

Away O1.5 17.9% 25.4% 3.94 -17.7%

League track record ↗

Based on 36 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5 75%

BTTS 67%

Score Hit 69%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 53%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-0

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob43.6%

D 33% / xG 0.9-0.7 / U2.5 34% / NoBTTS 44%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 20.1%

#2 1–0 18.0%

#3 0–1 14.3%

#4 1–1 12.8%

#5 2–0✓ 8.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Highlanders0.9

Herentals0.7

COMBINED 1.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 34.5% · O3.5 PROB 18.2%

Form & verdict PPG

HIGHLANDERS · PPG 1.54

HERENTALS · PPG 1.62

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear value

65%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.18, combined xG 1.60 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Highlanders (H) 35.7%

ODDS 2.38 · IMPLIED 42.0% EV -15.0%

Draw 33.4%

ODDS 2.70 · IMPLIED 37.0% EV -9.8%

Herentals (A) 30.9%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV -4.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

Highlanders face Herentals in Zimbabwe - Premier Soccer League on Sunday, August 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Highlanders a 36% chance, the draw 33% and Herentals 31%, so Highlanders are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Highlanders and 0.7 for Herentals (1.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 44% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Highlanders are averaging 1.54 points per game versus 1.62 for Herentals. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +8.8%. This match finished 2-0.

Highlanders vs Herentals Prediction— Zimbabwe - Premier Soccer League

Match Preview & Prediction

More Zimbabwe - Premier Soccer League Predictions