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Slavija vs Sutjeska Foča Prediction— Bosnia - 1st League - RS

RS · Matchday 3 ·Wednesday, September 2, 2026, 14:30

Slavija

PPG 1.78 · HOME

LAST 5

DL ···

UPCOMING

Sutjeska Foča

PPG 1.04 · AWAY

LAST 5

W ····

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 2.6 puts the goal expectation above the line. Model probability 50.4% vs bookmaker-implied 57.1%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.5%0-16.9%0-23.2%0-31.0%0-4+0.3%1 1-012.4%1-111.5%1-25.3%1-31.7%1-4+0.5%2 2-010.4%2-19.6%2-24.5%2-31.4%2-4+0.4%3 3-05.8%3-15.4%3-22.5%3-30.8%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-03.5%4+-13.3%4+-21.5%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 47.1% 66.7% 1.50 -29.3%

Draw 25.4% 25.0% 4.00 +1.0%

Away win 27.6% 20.0% 5.00 +22.8%

Over 2.5 50.4% 57.1% 1.75 -11.8%

Over 3.5 28.7% 36.4% 2.75 -12.6%

BTTS 49.9% 56.2% 1.78 -11.2%

Home O1.5 49.4% — — —

Away O1.5 26.1% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 8 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 63%

Score Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 0 23%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob49.9%

H 47% / xG 1.7-0.9 / O2.5 50% / NoBTTS 50%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.5%

#2 1–0 12.4%

#3 2–0 10.4%

#4 2–1 9.6%

#5 0–0 7.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Slavija1.7

Sutjeska Foča0.9

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.4% · O3.5 PROB 28.7%

Form & verdict PPG

SLAVIJA · PPG 1.78

SUTJESKA FOČA · PPG 1.04

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.74 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Slavija (H) 47.1%

ODDS 1.50 · IMPLIED 66.7% EV -29.3%

Draw 25.4%

ODDS 4.00 · IMPLIED 25.0% EV +1.0%

Sutjeska Foča (A) 27.6%

ODDS 5.00 · IMPLIED 20.0% EV +22.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Slavija face Sutjeska Foča in Bosnia - 1st League - RS on Wednesday, September 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Slavija a 47% chance, the draw 25% and Sutjeska Foča 28%, so Slavija are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Slavija and 0.9 for Sutjeska Foča (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Slavija are averaging 1.78 points per game versus 1.04 for Sutjeska Foča.

Slavija vs Sutjeska Foča Prediction— Bosnia - 1st League - RS

Match Preview & Prediction

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