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Sutjeska Foča vs Velež Nevesinje Prediction— Bosnia - 1st League - RS

RS · Matchday 2 ·Saturday, August 29, 2026, 15:00

Sutjeska Foča

PPG 1.52 · HOME

LAST 5

W ····

1 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME O1.5

Velež Nevesinje

PPG 0.81 · AWAY

LAST 5

DL ···

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

xG gap +0.80 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.4%0-16.6%0-23.0%0-30.9%0-4+0.2%1 1-012.6%1-111.3%1-25.1%1-31.5%1-4+0.4%2 2-010.7%2-19.7%2-24.4%2-31.3%2-4+0.4%3 3-06.1%3-15.5%3-22.5%3-30.7%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-03.8%4+-13.4%4+-21.6%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 50.6% — — —

Draw 26.9% — — —

Away win 22.5% — — —

Over 2.5 50.5% — — —

Over 3.5 28.7% — — —

BTTS 49.2% — — —

Home O1.5 48.9% — — —

Away O1.5 25.7% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 8 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 63%

Score Hit 50%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.3%

#2 1–0✓ 12.6%

#3 2–0 10.7%

#4 0–0 7.4%

#5 2–1 9.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Sutjeska Foča1.7

Velež Nevesinje0.9

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.5% · O3.5 PROB 28.7%

Form & verdict PPG

SUTJESKA FOČA · PPG 1.52

VELEŽ NEVESINJE · PPG 0.81

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.80 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Sutjeska Foča (H) 50.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 26.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Velež Nevesinje (A) 22.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Sutjeska Foča face Velež Nevesinje in Bosnia - 1st League - RS on Saturday, August 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sutjeska Foča a 51% chance, the draw 27% and Velež Nevesinje 23%, so Sutjeska Foča are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Sutjeska Foča and 0.9 for Velež Nevesinje (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sutjeska Foča are averaging 1.52 points per game versus 0.81 for Velež Nevesinje. This match finished 1-0.

Sutjeska Foča vs Velež Nevesinje Prediction— Bosnia - 1st League - RS

Match Preview & Prediction

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