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Torres vs Sambenedettese Prediction— Italy - Serie C - Girone B

Girone B · Matchday 2 ·Saturday, August 29, 2026, 16:00

Torres

PPG 1.17 · HOME

LAST 5

LW ···

1 – 0

FULL TIME

Sambenedettese

PPG 1.36 · AWAY

LAST 5

DL ···

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-010.7%0-111.5%0-26.2%0-32.2%0-4+0.7%1 1-012.4%1-113.3%1-27.2%1-32.6%1-4+0.9%2 2-07.2%2-17.7%2-24.2%2-31.5%2-4+0.5%3 3-02.8%3-13.0%3-21.6%3-30.6%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-01.0%4+-11.1%4+-20.6%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 35.9% — — —

Draw 31.1% — — —

Away win 33.0% — — —

Over 2.5 43.1% — — —

Over 3.5 22.6% — — —

BTTS 47.6% — — —

Home O1.5 31.4% — — —

Away O1.5 32.6% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 7 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 43%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 43%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.3%

#2 0–0 10.7%

#3 1–0✓ 12.4%

#4 0–1 11.5%

#5 2–1 7.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Torres1.2

Sambenedettese1.1

COMBINED 2.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 43.1% · O3.5 PROB 22.6%

Form & verdict PPG

TORRES · PPG 1.17

SAMBENEDETTESE · PPG 1.36

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.09, combined xG 2.23 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Torres (H) 35.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 31.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Sambenedettese (A) 33.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Torres face Sambenedettese in Italy - Serie C - Girone B on Saturday, August 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Torres a 36% chance, the draw 31% and Sambenedettese 33%, so Torres are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Torres and 1.1 for Sambenedettese (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 43% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Torres are averaging 1.17 points per game versus 1.36 for Sambenedettese. This match finished 1-0.

Torres vs Sambenedettese Prediction— Italy - Serie C - Girone B

Match Preview & Prediction

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