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Campobasso FC vs Pianese Prediction— Italy - Serie C - Girone B

Girone B · Matchday 1 ·Sunday, August 23, 2026, 16:00

Campobasso FC

PPG 1.66 · HOME

LAST 5

WL ···

2 – 0

FULL TIME

Pianese

PPG 1.43 · AWAY

LAST 5

LD ···

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-012.5%0-111.4%0-25.2%0-31.6%0-4+0.4%1 1-014.7%1-113.3%1-26.0%1-31.8%1-4+0.5%2 2-08.6%2-17.8%2-23.5%2-31.1%2-4+0.3%3 3-03.3%3-13.0%3-21.4%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.3%4+-11.1%4+-20.5%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 43.9% 52.4% 1.91 -16.2%

Draw 27.6% 34.7% 2.88 -12.3%

Away win 28.5% 25.6% 3.90 +6.7%

Over 2.5 42.7% 46.5% 2.15 -8.2%

Over 3.5 20.6% 26.7% 3.75 -13.7%

BTTS 47.7% 50.0% 2.00 -4.6%

Home O1.5 31.7% 50.0% 2.00 -36.6%

Away O1.5 22.9% 23.1% 4.33 -0.5%

League track record ↗

Based on 7 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 43%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 43%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 32%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob47.7%

H 44% / xG 1.2-0.9 / U2.5 43% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 14.7%

#2 1–1 13.3%

#3 0–0 12.5%

#4 0–1 11.4%

#5 2–0✓ 8.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Campobasso FC1.2

Pianese0.9

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 42.7% · O3.5 PROB 20.6%

Form & verdict PPG

CAMPOBASSO FC · PPG 1.66

PIANESE · PPG 1.43

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected

65%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.26, combined xG 2.08 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Campobasso FC (H) 43.9%

ODDS 1.91 · IMPLIED 52.4% EV -16.2%

Draw 27.6%

ODDS 2.88 · IMPLIED 34.7% EV -12.3%

Pianese (A) 28.5%

ODDS 3.90 · IMPLIED 25.6% EV +6.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

Campobasso FC face Pianese in Italy - Serie C - Girone B on Sunday, August 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Campobasso FC a 44% chance, the draw 28% and Pianese 28%, so Campobasso FC are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Campobasso FC and 0.9 for Pianese (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 43% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Campobasso FC are averaging 1.66 points per game versus 1.43 for Pianese. The best value bet our model finds is A/O25, with an expected value of +17.8%. This match finished 2-0.

Campobasso FC vs Pianese Prediction— Italy - Serie C - Girone B

Match Preview & Prediction

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