Today / Bosnia - 1st League - RS / Drina Zvornik vs Leotar

Drina Zvornik vs Leotar Prediction— Bosnia - 1st League - RS

RS · Matchday 2 ·Saturday, August 29, 2026, 15:00

Drina Zvornik logo
Drina Zvornik
PPG 1.73 · HOME
LAST 5
LD ···
2 – 2
FULL TIME
Leotar logo
Leotar
PPG 1.59 · AWAY
LAST 5
D ····

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.3%0-16.8%0-23.1%0-31.0%0-4+0.3%1 1-012.4%1-111.5%1-25.3%1-31.6%1-4+0.5%2 2-010.4%2-19.7%2-24.5%2-31.4%2-4+0.4%3 3-05.9%3-15.4%3-22.5%3-30.8%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-03.6%4+-13.3%4+-21.5%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.1%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 48.7%
Draw 27.2%
Away win 24.1%
Over 2.5 50.5%
Over 3.5 28.7%
BTTS 49.2%
Home O1.5 48.9%
Away O1.5 25.7%

League track record

Based on 8 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%
O2.5 50%
BTTS 63%
Score Hit 50%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.5%
#2 1–0 12.4%
#3 2–0 10.4%
#4 0–0 7.3%
#5 2–1 9.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Drina Zvornik1.7
Leotar0.9

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.5% · O3.5 PROB 28.7%

Form & verdict PPG

DRINA ZVORNIK · PPG 1.73

LEOTAR · PPG 1.59

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.76 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Drina Zvornik (H) 48.7%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 27.2%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Leotar (A) 24.1%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Drina Zvornik face Leotar in Bosnia - 1st League - RS on Saturday, August 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Drina Zvornik a 49% chance, the draw 27% and Leotar 24%, so Drina Zvornik are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Drina Zvornik and 0.9 for Leotar (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Drina Zvornik are averaging 1.73 points per game versus 1.59 for Leotar. This match finished 2-2.

PredictVantage

Free daily football predictions across 240+ leagues. A Poisson-based model analyses team form, attack and defence strength, and live bookmaker odds to surface value bets — updated every day, graded every night.

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