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Manica Diamonds vs Ngezi Platinum Prediction— Zimbabwe - Premier Soccer League

Matchday 27 ·Sunday, August 23, 2026, 13:00

Manica Diamonds

PPG 1.15 · HOME

LAST 5

LLWLL

0 – 2

FULL TIME

Ngezi Platinum

PPG 1.31 · AWAY

LAST 5

WDLWW

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-013.3%0-117.5%0-211.6%0-35.1%0-4+2.2%1 1-09.3%1-112.3%1-28.1%1-33.6%1-4+1.6%2 2-03.2%2-14.3%2-22.8%2-31.2%2-4+0.6%3 3-00.8%3-11.0%3-20.7%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.2%4+-20.1%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 25.3% — — —

Draw 28.6% — — —

Away win 46.0% — — —

Over 2.5 42.7% — — —

Over 3.5 20.6% — — —

BTTS 47.6% — — —

Home O1.5 30.6% — — —

Away O1.5 41.2% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 38 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 55%

O2.5 74%

BTTS 66%

Score Hit 68%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–1 17.5%

#2 0–0 13.3%

#3 1–1 12.3%

#4 0–2✓ 11.6%

#5 1–0 9.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Manica Diamonds0.7

Ngezi Platinum1.3

COMBINED 2.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 42.7% · O3.5 PROB 20.6%

Form & verdict PPG

MANICA DIAMONDS · PPG 1.15

NGEZI PLATINUM · PPG 1.31

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

Chance this pick lands

48%

DANGER

xG gap -0.62 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

Manica Diamonds (H) 25.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 28.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Ngezi Platinum (A) 46.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Manica Diamonds face Ngezi Platinum in Zimbabwe - Premier Soccer League on Sunday, August 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Manica Diamonds a 25% chance, the draw 29% and Ngezi Platinum 46%, so Ngezi Platinum are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.7 for Manica Diamonds and 1.3 for Ngezi Platinum (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 43% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Manica Diamonds are averaging 1.15 points per game versus 1.31 for Ngezi Platinum. This match finished 0-2.

Manica Diamonds vs Ngezi Platinum Prediction— Zimbabwe - Premier Soccer League

Match Preview & Prediction

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