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Velež Nevesinje vs Slavija Prediction— Bosnia - 1st League - RS

RS · Matchday 1 ·Saturday, August 22, 2026, 15:00

Velež Nevesinje

PPG 1.91 · HOME

LAST 5

DL ···

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Slavija

PPG 1.09 · AWAY

LAST 5

DL ···

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 2.7 puts the goal expectation above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.1%0-16.7%0-23.1%0-31.0%0-4+0.3%1 1-012.0%1-111.4%1-25.4%1-31.7%1-4+0.5%2 2-010.3%2-19.7%2-24.6%2-31.4%2-4+0.4%3 3-05.8%3-15.5%3-22.6%3-30.8%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-03.7%4+-13.5%4+-21.6%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 52.3% — — —

Draw 24.3% — — —

Away win 23.4% — — —

Over 2.5 53.9% — — —

Over 3.5 31.2% — — —

BTTS 53.0% — — —

Home O1.5 48.8% — — —

Away O1.5 25.7% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 8 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 63%

Score Hit 50%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1✓ 11.4%

#2 1–0 12.0%

#3 2–0 10.3%

#4 2–1 9.7%

#5 0–0 7.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Velež Nevesinje1.7

Slavija0.9

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.9% · O3.5 PROB 31.2%

Form & verdict PPG

VELEŽ NEVESINJE · PPG 1.91

SLAVIJA · PPG 1.09

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.76 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Velež Nevesinje (H) 52.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Slavija (A) 23.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Velež Nevesinje face Slavija in Bosnia - 1st League - RS on Saturday, August 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Velež Nevesinje a 52% chance, the draw 24% and Slavija 23%, so Velež Nevesinje are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Velež Nevesinje and 0.9 for Slavija (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Velež Nevesinje are averaging 1.91 points per game versus 1.09 for Slavija. This match finished 1-1.

Velež Nevesinje vs Slavija Prediction— Bosnia - 1st League - RS

Match Preview & Prediction

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