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Platinum vs Agama Prediction— Zimbabwe - Premier Soccer League

Matchday 27 ·Saturday, August 22, 2026, 13:00

Platinum logo
Platinum
PPG 1.23 · HOME
LAST 5
LLDWD
1 – 0
FULL TIME
Agama logo
Agama
PPG 0.77 · AWAY
LAST 5
LLWLL

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-017.9%0-19.5%0-22.5%0-30.4%0-4+0.1%1 1-021.3%1-111.3%1-23.0%1-30.5%1-4+0.1%2 2-012.7%2-16.7%2-21.8%2-30.3%2-4+0.0%3 3-05.0%3-12.7%3-20.7%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-01.9%4+-11.0%4+-20.3%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 46.2%
Draw 31.2%
Away win 22.6%
Over 2.5 34.5%
Over 3.5 18.2%
BTTS 43.6%
Home O1.5 32.4%
Away O1.5 16.4%

League track record

Based on 38 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 55%
O2.5 74%
BTTS 66%
Score Hit 68%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 21.3%
#2 0–0 17.9%
#3 0–1 9.5%
#4 1–1 11.3%
#5 2–0 12.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Platinum1.2
Agama0.5

COMBINED 1.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 34.5% · O3.5 PROB 18.2%

Form & verdict PPG

PLATINUM · PPG 1.23

AGAMA · PPG 0.77

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
Chance this pick lands
46%
MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.66 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Platinum (H) 46.2%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 31.2%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Agama (A) 22.6%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Platinum face Agama in Zimbabwe - Premier Soccer League on Saturday, August 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Platinum a 46% chance, the draw 31% and Agama 23%, so Platinum are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Platinum and 0.5 for Agama (1.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 44% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Platinum are averaging 1.23 points per game versus 0.77 for Agama. This match finished 1-0.

PredictVantage

Free daily football predictions across 240+ leagues. A Poisson-based model analyses team form, attack and defence strength, and live bookmaker odds to surface value bets — updated every day, graded every night.

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