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Simba Bhora vs Scotland Mabvuku Prediction— Zimbabwe - Premier Soccer League

Matchday 27 ·Saturday, August 22, 2026, 13:00

Simba Bhora

PPG 1.54 · HOME

LAST 5

DLDLD

1 – 2

FULL TIME

Scotland Mabvuku

PPG 2.15 · AWAY

LAST 5

WDDWD

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-015.5%0-119.2%0-211.9%0-34.9%0-4+2.0%1 1-09.7%1-112.0%1-27.4%1-33.1%1-4+1.2%2 2-03.1%2-13.8%2-22.3%2-31.0%2-4+0.4%3 3-00.6%3-10.8%3-20.5%3-30.2%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.1%4+-10.1%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 25.2% — — —

Draw 28.9% — — —

Away win 45.8% — — —

Over 2.5 39.8% — — —

Over 3.5 20.6% — — —

BTTS 47.2% — — —

Home O1.5 30.6% — — —

Away O1.5 37.3% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 45 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 51%

O2.5 76%

BTTS 67%

Score Hit 71%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–1 19.2%

#2 0–0 15.5%

#3 1–1 12.0%

#4 1–0 9.7%

#5 0–2 11.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Simba Bhora0.6

Scotland Mabvuku1.2

COMBINED 1.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 39.8% · O3.5 PROB 20.6%

Form & verdict PPG

SIMBA BHORA · PPG 1.54

SCOTLAND MABVUKU · PPG 2.15

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

Chance this pick lands

47%

DANGER

xG gap -0.61 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

Simba Bhora (H) 25.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 28.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Scotland Mabvuku (A) 45.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Simba Bhora face Scotland Mabvuku in Zimbabwe - Premier Soccer League on Saturday, August 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Simba Bhora a 25% chance, the draw 29% and Scotland Mabvuku 46%, so Scotland Mabvuku are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.6 for Simba Bhora and 1.2 for Scotland Mabvuku (1.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 40% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Simba Bhora are averaging 1.54 points per game versus 2.15 for Scotland Mabvuku. This match finished 1-2.

Simba Bhora vs Scotland Mabvuku Prediction— Zimbabwe - Premier Soccer League

Match Preview & Prediction

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