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TelOne vs Triangle United Prediction— Zimbabwe - Premier Soccer League

Matchday 27 ·Saturday, August 22, 2026, 13:00

TelOne

PPG 0.62 · HOME

LAST 5

LLWLL

0 – 2

FULL TIME

Triangle United

PPG 0.54 · AWAY

LAST 5

WDLDW

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-016.4%0-112.8%0-24.9%0-31.3%0-4+0.3%1 1-016.9%1-113.1%1-25.1%1-31.3%1-4+0.3%2 2-08.7%2-16.8%2-22.6%2-30.7%2-4+0.2%3 3-03.0%3-12.3%3-20.9%3-30.2%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.0%4+-10.7%4+-20.3%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 38.5% — — —

Draw 32.8% — — —

Away win 28.7% — — —

Over 2.5 34.5% — — —

Over 3.5 18.2% — — —

BTTS 43.6% — — —

Home O1.5 30.6% — — —

Away O1.5 19.1% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 38 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 55%

O2.5 74%

BTTS 66%

Score Hit 68%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 16.4%

#2 1–0 16.9%

#3 1–1 13.1%

#4 0–1 12.8%

#5 2–0 8.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

TelOne1.0

Triangle United0.8

COMBINED 1.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 34.5% · O3.5 PROB 18.2%

Form & verdict PPG

TELONE · PPG 0.62

TRIANGLE UNITED · PPG 0.54

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

Chance this pick lands

44%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.25, combined xG 1.81 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

TelOne (H) 38.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 32.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Triangle United (A) 28.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

TelOne face Triangle United in Zimbabwe - Premier Soccer League on Saturday, August 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives TelOne a 39% chance, the draw 33% and Triangle United 29%, so TelOne are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for TelOne and 0.8 for Triangle United (1.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 44% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, TelOne are averaging 0.62 points per game versus 0.54 for Triangle United. This match finished 0-2.

TelOne vs Triangle United Prediction— Zimbabwe - Premier Soccer League

Match Preview & Prediction

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