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Bulawayo Chiefs vs CAPS United Prediction— Zimbabwe - Premier Soccer League

Matchday 27 ·Saturday, August 22, 2026, 13:00

Bulawayo Chiefs

PPG 1.31 · HOME

LAST 5

LWWDL

0 – 0

FULL TIME

CAPS United

PPG 1.31 · AWAY

LAST 5

WLLWD

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-012.9%0-113.7%0-27.2%0-32.5%0-4+0.8%1 1-012.8%1-113.5%1-27.1%1-32.5%1-4+0.8%2 2-06.3%2-16.7%2-23.5%2-31.2%2-4+0.4%3 3-02.1%3-12.2%3-21.2%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.6%4+-10.7%4+-20.4%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 35.9% — — —

Draw 28.6% — — —

Away win 35.5% — — —

Over 2.5 43.5% — — —

Over 3.5 23.0% — — —

BTTS 49.1% — — —

Home O1.5 30.6% — — —

Away O1.5 33.6% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 38 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 55%

O2.5 74%

BTTS 66%

Score Hit 68%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.5%

#2 1–0 12.8%

#3 0–0✓ 12.9%

#4 0–1 13.7%

#5 2–1 6.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Bulawayo Chiefs1.0

CAPS United1.1

COMBINED 2.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 43.5% · O3.5 PROB 23.0%

Form & verdict PPG

BULAWAYO CHIEFS · PPG 1.31

CAPS UNITED · PPG 1.31

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

Chance this pick lands

49%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap -0.07, combined xG 2.04 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Bulawayo Chiefs (H) 35.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 28.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

CAPS United (A) 35.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Bulawayo Chiefs face CAPS United in Zimbabwe - Premier Soccer League on Saturday, August 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Bulawayo Chiefs a 36% chance, the draw 29% and CAPS United 36%, so Bulawayo Chiefs are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Bulawayo Chiefs and 1.1 for CAPS United (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Bulawayo Chiefs are averaging 1.31 points per game versus 1.31 for CAPS United. This match finished 0-0.

Bulawayo Chiefs vs CAPS United Prediction— Zimbabwe - Premier Soccer League

Match Preview & Prediction

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