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Goczałkowice Zdrój vs Ślęza Wrocław Prediction— Poland - III Liga - Group 3

Group III · Matchday 3 ·Saturday, August 15, 2026, 11:00

Goczałkowice Zdrój

PPG 1.64 · HOME

UPCOMING

Ślęza Wrocław

PPG 0.90 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.2 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.9%0-14.4%0-22.5%0-31.0%0-4+0.4%1 1-08.2%1-19.3%1-25.3%1-32.0%1-4+0.7%2 2-08.6%2-19.8%2-25.6%2-32.1%2-4+0.8%3 3-06.1%3-16.9%3-23.9%3-31.5%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-05.2%4+-15.9%4+-23.4%4+-31.3%4+-4+0.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 55.6% — — —

Draw 22.3% — — —

Away win 22.2% — — —

Over 2.5 63.1% — — —

Over 3.5 38.9% — — —

BTTS 60.0% — — —

Home O1.5 59.8% — — —

Away O1.5 34.7% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 5 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 60%

O2.5 80%

BTTS 80%

Score Hit 60%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 51%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.1 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob60.0%

H 56% / xG 2.1-1.1 / O2.5 63% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.3%

#2 2–1 9.8%

#3 2–0 8.6%

#4 3–1 6.9%

#5 1–0 8.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Goczałkowice Zdrój2.1

Ślęza Wrocław1.1

COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.1% · O3.5 PROB 38.9%

Form & verdict PPG

GOCZAŁKOWICE ZDRÓJ · PPG 1.64

ŚLĘZA WROCŁAW · PPG 0.90

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.97 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Goczałkowice Zdrój (H) 55.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Ślęza Wrocław (A) 22.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Goczałkowice Zdrój face Ślęza Wrocław in Poland - III Liga - Group 3 on Saturday, August 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Goczałkowice Zdrój a 56% chance, the draw 22% and Ślęza Wrocław 22%, so Goczałkowice Zdrój are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for Goczałkowice Zdrój and 1.1 for Ślęza Wrocław (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Goczałkowice Zdrój are averaging 1.64 points per game versus 0.90 for Ślęza Wrocław.

Goczałkowice Zdrój vs Ślęza Wrocław Prediction— Poland - III Liga - Group 3

Match Preview & Prediction

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