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Polonia Nysa vs Zagłębie Lubin II Prediction— Poland - III Liga - Group 3

Group III · Matchday 2 ·Saturday, August 8, 2026, 16:00

Polonia Nysa

PPG 1.17 · HOME

2 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Zagłębie Lubin II

PPG 1.46 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap -0.49 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.0%0-18.7%0-27.6%0-34.4%0-4+2.8%1 1-06.3%1-110.9%1-29.5%1-35.5%1-4+3.6%2 2-03.9%2-16.9%2-26.0%2-33.5%2-4+2.2%3 3-01.6%3-12.9%3-22.5%3-31.5%3-4+0.9%4+ 4+-00.7%4+-11.2%4+-21.0%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 30.9% — — —

Draw 24.4% — — —

Away win 44.7% — — —

Over 2.5 60.4% — — —

Over 3.5 36.8% — — —

BTTS 61.1% — — —

Home O1.5 35.7% — — —

Away O1.5 48.2% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 5 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 60%

O2.5 80%

BTTS 80%

Score Hit 60%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 50%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-2

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.7 BTTS prob61.1%

A 45% / xG 1.3-1.7 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 61%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.9%

#2 1–2 9.5%

#3 0–2 7.6%

#4 0–1 8.7%

#5 2–1 6.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Polonia Nysa1.3

Zagłębie Lubin II1.7

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.4% · O3.5 PROB 36.8%

Form & verdict PPG

POLONIA NYSA · PPG 1.17

ZAGŁĘBIE LUBIN II · PPG 1.46

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.49 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Polonia Nysa (H) 30.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Zagłębie Lubin II (A) 44.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Polonia Nysa face Zagłębie Lubin II in Poland - III Liga - Group 3 on Saturday, August 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Polonia Nysa a 31% chance, the draw 24% and Zagłębie Lubin II 45%, so Zagłębie Lubin II are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Polonia Nysa and 1.7 for Zagłębie Lubin II (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Polonia Nysa are averaging 1.17 points per game versus 1.46 for Zagłębie Lubin II. This match finished 2-2.

Polonia Nysa vs Zagłębie Lubin II Prediction— Poland - III Liga - Group 3

Match Preview & Prediction

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