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Górnik Polkowice vs Miedź Legnica II Prediction— Poland - III Liga - Group 3

Group III · Matchday 3 ·Friday, August 14, 2026, 15:00

Górnik Polkowice

PPG 2.02 · HOME

UPCOMING

Miedź Legnica II

PPG 1.04 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.2 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.5%0-12.3%0-21.9%0-31.0%0-4+0.6%1 1-03.9%1-16.1%1-24.9%1-32.6%1-4+1.5%2 2-05.1%2-18.1%2-26.4%2-33.4%2-4+1.9%3 3-04.4%3-17.1%3-25.6%3-33.0%3-4+1.7%4+ 4+-05.5%4+-18.8%4+-27.0%4+-33.7%4+-4+2.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 53.6% — — —

Draw 22.4% — — —

Away win 24.0% — — —

Over 2.5 67.3% — — —

Over 3.5 47.0% — — —

BTTS 63.3% — — —

Home O1.5 63.4% — — —

Away O1.5 47.4% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 5 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 60%

O2.5 80%

BTTS 80%

Score Hit 60%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 2 58%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.6 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob63.3%

H 54% / xG 2.6-1.6 / O2.5 67% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 8.1%

#2 3–1 7.1%

#3 1–1 6.1%

#4 2–2 6.4%

#5 3–2 5.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Górnik Polkowice2.6

Miedź Legnica II1.6

COMBINED 4.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.3% · O3.5 PROB 47.0%

Form & verdict PPG

GÓRNIK POLKOWICE · PPG 2.02

MIEDŹ LEGNICA II · PPG 1.04

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.04 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Górnik Polkowice (H) 53.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Miedź Legnica II (A) 24.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Górnik Polkowice face Miedź Legnica II in Poland - III Liga - Group 3 on Friday, August 14, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Górnik Polkowice a 54% chance, the draw 22% and Miedź Legnica II 24%, so Górnik Polkowice are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.6 for Górnik Polkowice and 1.6 for Miedź Legnica II (4.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Górnik Polkowice are averaging 2.02 points per game versus 1.04 for Miedź Legnica II.

Górnik Polkowice vs Miedź Legnica II Prediction— Poland - III Liga - Group 3

Match Preview & Prediction

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