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Carina Gubin vs Karkonosze Jelenia Góra Prediction— Poland - III Liga - Group 3

Group III · Matchday 3 ·Friday, August 14, 2026, 15:00

Carina Gubin

PPG 1.58 · HOME

UPCOMING

Karkonosze Jelenia Góra

PPG 1.14 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap +0.22 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.7%0-19.0%0-25.3%0-32.1%0-4+0.8%1 1-010.7%1-112.5%1-27.4%1-32.9%1-4+1.1%2 2-07.5%2-18.8%2-25.1%2-32.0%2-4+0.8%3 3-03.5%3-14.1%3-22.4%3-30.9%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-01.7%4+-11.9%4+-21.1%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 44.1% — — —

Draw 27.5% — — —

Away win 28.4% — — —

Over 2.5 49.9% — — —

Over 3.5 28.7% — — —

BTTS 53.1% — — —

Home O1.5 42.8% — — —

Away O1.5 34.7% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 5 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 60%

O2.5 80%

BTTS 80%

Score Hit 60%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 23%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob53.1%

H 44% / xG 1.4-1.2 / O2.5 50% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.5%

#2 0–0 7.7%

#3 1–0 10.7%

#4 2–1 8.8%

#5 2–0 7.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Carina Gubin1.4

Karkonosze Jelenia Góra1.2

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 49.9% · O3.5 PROB 28.7%

Form & verdict PPG

CARINA GUBIN · PPG 1.58

KARKONOSZE JELENIA GÓRA · PPG 1.14

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.22 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Carina Gubin (H) 44.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 27.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Karkonosze Jelenia Góra (A) 28.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Carina Gubin face Karkonosze Jelenia Góra in Poland - III Liga - Group 3 on Friday, August 14, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Carina Gubin a 44% chance, the draw 28% and Karkonosze Jelenia Góra 28%, so Carina Gubin are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Carina Gubin and 1.2 for Karkonosze Jelenia Góra (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Carina Gubin are averaging 1.58 points per game versus 1.14 for Karkonosze Jelenia Góra.

Carina Gubin vs Karkonosze Jelenia Góra Prediction— Poland - III Liga - Group 3

Match Preview & Prediction

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