Today / Norway - 1. Division Women / Åsane W vs TIL 2020 W

Åsane W vs TIL 2020 W Prediction— Norway - 1. Division Women

Matchday 13 ·Saturday, August 8, 2026, 11:30

Åsane W logo
Åsane W
PPG 3.00 · HOME
1 – 0
FULL TIME
TIL 2020 W logo
TIL 2020 W
PPG 2.00 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-011.2%0-110.1%0-24.5%0-31.4%0-4+0.4%1 1-014.4%1-113.0%1-25.8%1-31.8%1-4+0.5%2 2-09.3%2-18.4%2-23.8%2-31.1%2-4+0.3%3 3-04.0%3-13.6%3-21.6%3-30.5%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.7%4+-11.5%4+-20.7%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 47.8%
Draw 27.2%
Away win 25.1%
Over 2.5 45.9%
Over 3.5 25.8%
BTTS 49.6%
Home O1.5 37.3%
Away O1.5 23.9%

League track record

Based on 12 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 75%
O2.5 50%
BTTS 58%
Score Hit 25%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 29%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 1-0
xG (home)1.3 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob49.6%

H 48% / xG 1.3-0.9 / U2.5 46% / NoBTTS 50%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.0%
#2 0–0 11.2%
#3 1–0 14.4%
#4 2–0 9.3%
#5 2–1 8.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Åsane W1.3
TIL 2020 W0.9

COMBINED 2.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 45.9% · O3.5 PROB 25.8%

Form & verdict PPG

ÅSANE W · PPG 3.00

TIL 2020 W · PPG 2.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...
45%
HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.39, combined xG 2.19 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Åsane W (H) 47.8%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 27.2%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
TIL 2020 W (A) 25.1%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Åsane W face TIL 2020 W in Norway - 1. Division Women on Saturday, August 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Åsane W a 48% chance, the draw 27% and TIL 2020 W 25%, so Åsane W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Åsane W and 0.9 for TIL 2020 W (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Åsane W are averaging 3.00 points per game versus 2.00 for TIL 2020 W. This match finished 1-0.

PredictVantage

Free daily football predictions across 240+ leagues. A Poisson-based model analyses team form, attack and defence strength, and live bookmaker odds to surface value bets — updated every day, graded every night.

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