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Jalapa vs H&H Export Prediction— Nicaragua - Primera Division

Apertura · Matchday 4 ·Saturday, August 8, 2026, 22:00

Jalapa

PPG 1.73 · HOME

0 – 1

FULL TIME

H&H Export

PPG 1.84 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-011.0%0-113.3%0-28.0%0-33.2%0-4+1.2%1 1-011.1%1-113.3%1-28.0%1-33.2%1-4+1.2%2 2-05.5%2-16.7%2-24.0%2-31.6%2-4+0.6%3 3-01.8%3-12.2%3-21.3%3-30.5%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-00.6%4+-10.7%4+-20.4%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 31.4% 45.5% 2.20 -30.9%

Draw 30.3% 29.4% 3.40 +3.0%

Away win 38.4% 35.7% 2.80 +7.5%

Over 2.5 44.0% 51.8% 1.93 -15.1%

Over 3.5 22.0% 29.9% 3.35 -15.8%

BTTS 48.4% 58.8% 1.70 -17.7%

Home O1.5 32.1% 46.5% 2.15 -31.0%

Away O1.5 35.6% 38.5% 2.60 -7.4%

League track record ↗

Based on 7 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 86%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 29%

Score Hit 71%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 37%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-1

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob48.4%

D 30% / xG 1.0-1.2 / U2.5 44% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.3%

#2 0–0 11.0%

#3 0–1✓ 13.3%

#4 1–0 11.1%

#5 1–2 8.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Jalapa1.0

H&H Export1.2

COMBINED 2.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 44.0% · O3.5 PROB 22.0%

Form & verdict PPG

JALAPA · PPG 1.73

H&H EXPORT · PPG 1.84

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected

65%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap -0.20, combined xG 2.20 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Jalapa (H) 31.4%

ODDS 2.20 · IMPLIED 45.5% EV -30.9%

Draw 30.3%

ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV +3.0%

H&H Export (A) 38.4%

ODDS 2.80 · IMPLIED 35.7% EV +7.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Jalapa face H&H Export in Nicaragua - Primera Division on Saturday, August 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Jalapa a 31% chance, the draw 30% and H&H Export 38%, so H&H Export are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Jalapa and 1.2 for H&H Export (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Jalapa are averaging 1.73 points per game versus 1.84 for H&H Export. This match finished 0-1.

Jalapa vs H&H Export Prediction— Nicaragua - Primera Division

Match Preview & Prediction

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