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Diriangén vs UNAN Managua Prediction— Nicaragua - Primera Division

Apertura - 3 ·Saturday, August 1, 2026, 00:00

Diriangén

PPG 1.73 · HOME

UPCOMING

UNAN Managua

PPG 0.98 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

xG gap +1.18 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.7%0-14.8%0-22.0%0-30.6%0-4+0.1%1 1-011.6%1-19.7%1-24.1%1-31.1%1-4+0.3%2 2-011.7%2-19.8%2-24.1%2-31.2%2-4+0.3%3 3-07.8%3-16.6%3-22.8%3-30.8%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-06.3%4+-15.3%4+-22.2%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 53.6% — — —

Draw 24.7% — — —

Away win 21.7% — — —

Over 2.5 51.5% — — —

Over 3.5 32.2% — — —

BTTS 49.2% — — —

Home O1.5 53.6% — — —

Away O1.5 20.3% — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 0 35%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.0 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob49.2%

H 54% / xG 2.0-0.8 / O2.5 52% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 11.7%

#2 1–1 9.7%

#3 1–0 11.6%

#4 2–1 9.8%

#5 3–0 7.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Diriangén2.0

UNAN Managua0.8

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 51.5% · O3.5 PROB 32.2%

Form & verdict PPG

DIRIANGÉN · PPG 1.73

UNAN MANAGUA · PPG 0.98

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.18 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Diriangén (H) 53.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

UNAN Managua (A) 21.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Diriangén face UNAN Managua in Nicaragua - Primera Division on Saturday, August 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Diriangén a 54% chance, the draw 25% and UNAN Managua 22%, so Diriangén are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Diriangén and 0.8 for UNAN Managua (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Diriangén are averaging 1.73 points per game versus 0.98 for UNAN Managua.

Diriangén vs UNAN Managua Prediction— Nicaragua - Primera Division

Match Preview & Prediction

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