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Hoyvík vs Suduroy Prediction— Faroe-Islands - 1. Deild

Matchday 18 ·Saturday, August 8, 2026, 12:00

Hoyvík

PPG 0.75 · HOME

1 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · AWAY O1.5

Suduroy

PPG 2.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away Over 1.5

xG gap -2.31 for Away, form 0.75 vs 2.00

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.7%0-12.4%0-24.5%0-35.4%0-4+12.9%1 1-00.9%1-13.3%1-26.0%1-37.4%1-4+17.4%2 2-00.6%2-12.2%2-24.1%2-35.0%2-4+11.8%3 3-00.3%3-11.0%3-21.8%3-32.2%3-4+5.3%4+ 4+-00.1%4+-10.5%4+-20.8%4+-31.0%4+-4+2.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 13.8% 11.1% 9.00 +14.5%

Draw 16.7% 14.3% 7.00 +10.1%

Away win 69.5% 84.7% 1.18 -18.0%

Over 2.5 73.2% 82.0% 1.22 -10.7%

Over 3.5 54.1% 64.5% 1.55 -16.1%

BTTS 64.3% 64.5% 1.55 -0.3%

Home O1.5 37.4% 30.5% 3.28 +22.7%

Away O1.5 85.7% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 14 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 79%

O2.5 79%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 21%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 4 81%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-0

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)3.7 BTTS prob64.3%

A 70% / xG 1.4-3.7 / O2.5 73% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–3 7.4%

#2 1–4 6.7%

#3 1–2 6.0%

#4 0–3 5.4%

#5 2–3 5.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Hoyvík1.4

Suduroy3.7

COMBINED 5.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 73.2% · O3.5 PROB 54.1%

Form & verdict PPG

HOYVÍK · PPG 0.75

SUDUROY · PPG 2.00

✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum

90%

UPSET_VALUE

xG gap -2.31 for Away, form 0.75 vs 2.00

Win probability 1X2

Hoyvík (H) 13.8%

ODDS 9.00 · IMPLIED 11.1% EV +14.5%

Draw 16.7%

ODDS 7.00 · IMPLIED 14.3% EV +10.1%

Suduroy (A) 69.5%

ODDS 1.18 · IMPLIED 84.7% EV -18.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Hoyvík face Suduroy in Faroe-Islands - 1. Deild on Saturday, August 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Hoyvík a 14% chance, the draw 17% and Suduroy 70%, so Suduroy are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Hoyvík and 3.7 for Suduroy (5.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-3. There is a 73% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Hoyvík are averaging 0.75 points per game versus 2.00 for Suduroy. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +33.6%. This match finished 1-0.

Hoyvík vs Suduroy Prediction— Faroe-Islands - 1. Deild

Match Preview & Prediction

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