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HB II vs TB Prediction— Faroe-Islands - 1. Deild

Regular Season - 17 ·Saturday, August 1, 2026, 12:30

HB II

PPG 0.86 · HOME

UPCOMING

PPG 1.12 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap +0.04 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.9%0-19.9%0-26.2%0-32.6%0-4+1.1%1 1-010.1%1-112.7%1-28.0%1-33.3%1-4+1.4%2 2-06.5%2-18.2%2-25.1%2-32.1%2-4+0.9%3 3-02.8%3-13.5%3-22.2%3-30.9%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-01.2%4+-11.5%4+-20.9%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 40.2% — — —

Draw 26.7% — — —

Away win 33.1% — — —

Over 2.5 52.1% — — —

Over 3.5 29.5% — — —

BTTS 55.4% — — —

Home O1.5 38.0% — — —

Away O1.5 36.5% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 4 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 100%

O2.5 75%

BTTS 75%

Score Hit 0%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 24%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob55.4%

H 40% / xG 1.3-1.3 / O2.5 52% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.7%

#2 0–0 7.9%

#3 1–0 10.1%

#4 2–1 8.2%

#5 1–2 8.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

HB II1.3

TB1.3

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 52.1% · O3.5 PROB 29.5%

Form & verdict PPG

HB II · PPG 0.86

TB · PPG 1.12

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.04 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

HB II (H) 40.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 26.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

TB (A) 33.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

HB II face TB in Faroe-Islands - 1. Deild on Saturday, August 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives HB II a 40% chance, the draw 27% and TB 33%, so HB II are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for HB II and 1.3 for TB (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, HB II are averaging 0.86 points per game versus 1.12 for TB.

HB II vs TB Prediction— Faroe-Islands - 1. Deild

Match Preview & Prediction

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