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NSÍ II vs Víkingur II Prediction— Faroe-Islands - 1. Deild

Matchday 18 ·Saturday, August 8, 2026, 11:00

NSÍ II

PPG 0.75 · HOME

1 – 4

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Víkingur II

PPG 2.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.5 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.0%0-17.3%0-28.8%0-37.1%0-4+7.6%1 1-03.3%1-17.9%1-29.6%1-37.7%1-4+8.2%2 2-01.8%2-14.3%2-25.2%2-34.2%2-4+4.5%3 3-00.6%3-11.6%3-21.9%3-31.5%3-4+1.6%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.5%4+-20.6%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.6%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 22.1% — — —

Draw 20.3% — — —

Away win 57.7% — — —

Over 2.5 67.2% — — —

Over 3.5 44.0% — — —

BTTS 62.0% — — —

Home O1.5 32.1% — — —

Away O1.5 65.0% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 14 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 79%

O2.5 79%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 21%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 61%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-4

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)2.4 BTTS prob62.0%

A 58% / xG 1.1-2.4 / O2.5 67% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–2 9.6%

#2 1–1 7.9%

#3 0–2 8.8%

#4 1–3 7.7%

#5 0–3 7.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

NSÍ II1.1

Víkingur II2.4

COMBINED 3.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.2% · O3.5 PROB 44.0%

Form & verdict PPG

NSÍ II · PPG 0.75

VÍKINGUR II · PPG 2.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

xG gap -1.33 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

NSÍ II (H) 22.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 20.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Víkingur II (A) 57.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

NSÍ II face Víkingur II in Faroe-Islands - 1. Deild on Saturday, August 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives NSÍ II a 22% chance, the draw 20% and Víkingur II 58%, so Víkingur II are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for NSÍ II and 2.4 for Víkingur II (3.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-2. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, NSÍ II are averaging 0.75 points per game versus 2.00 for Víkingur II. This match finished 1-4.

NSÍ II vs Víkingur II Prediction— Faroe-Islands - 1. Deild

Match Preview & Prediction

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