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TB vs ÍF II Prediction— Faroe-Islands - 1. Deild

Matchday 18 ·Saturday, August 8, 2026, 14:00

PPG 1.25 · HOME

0 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

ÍF II

PPG 1.56 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.0 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.8%0-13.8%0-24.0%0-32.8%0-4+2.5%1 1-03.4%1-17.2%1-27.6%1-35.4%1-4+4.7%2 2-03.2%2-16.8%2-27.3%2-35.2%2-4+4.5%3 3-02.0%3-14.4%3-24.6%3-33.3%3-4+2.9%4+ 4+-01.5%4+-13.2%4+-23.4%4+-32.4%4+-4+2.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 35.2% — — —

Draw 21.7% — — —

Away win 43.1% — — —

Over 2.5 67.4% — — —

Over 3.5 47.3% — — —

BTTS 66.8% — — —

Home O1.5 55.4% — — —

Away O1.5 54.7% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 14 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 79%

O2.5 79%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 21%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 62%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-3

xG (home)1.9 xG (away)2.1 BTTS prob66.8%

A 43% / xG 1.9-2.1 / O2.5 67% / BTTS 67%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 7.2%

#2 1–2 7.6%

#3 2–2 7.3%

#4 2–1 6.8%

#5 1–3 5.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

TB1.9

ÍF II2.1

COMBINED 4.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.4% · O3.5 PROB 47.3%

Form & verdict PPG

TB · PPG 1.25

ÍF II · PPG 1.56

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.22 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

TB (H) 35.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

ÍF II (A) 43.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

TB face ÍF II in Faroe-Islands - 1. Deild on Saturday, August 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives TB a 35% chance, the draw 22% and ÍF II 43%, so ÍF II are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for TB and 2.1 for ÍF II (4.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 67% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, TB are averaging 1.25 points per game versus 1.56 for ÍF II. This match finished 0-3.

TB vs ÍF II Prediction— Faroe-Islands - 1. Deild

Match Preview & Prediction

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