Today / Czech-Republic - 3. liga - MSFL / Hranice vs Uničov

Hranice vs Uničov Prediction— Czech-Republic - 3. liga - MSFL

MSFL · Matchday 2 ·Friday, August 7, 2026, 17:00

Hranice

PPG 1.02 · HOME

UPCOMING

Uničov

PPG 1.71 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 2.9 puts the goal expectation above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.4%0-19.3%0-28.1%0-34.7%0-4+3.0%1 1-06.4%1-111.1%1-29.6%1-35.5%1-4+3.5%2 2-03.8%2-16.6%2-25.7%2-33.3%2-4+2.1%3 3-01.5%3-12.6%3-22.3%3-31.3%3-4+0.8%4+ 4+-00.6%4+-11.0%4+-20.9%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 30.2% — — —

Draw 24.8% — — —

Away win 45.0% — — —

Over 2.5 60.4% — — —

Over 3.5 36.8% — — —

BTTS 59.3% — — —

Home O1.5 32.8% — — —

Away O1.5 48.2% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 6 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 67%

O2.5 83%

BTTS 67%

Score Hit 33%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 47%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.7 BTTS prob59.3%

A 45% / xG 1.2-1.7 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 59%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.1%

#2 1–2 9.6%

#3 0–2 8.1%

#4 0–1 9.3%

#5 0–0 5.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Hranice1.2

Uničov1.7

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.4% · O3.5 PROB 36.8%

Form & verdict PPG

HRANICE · PPG 1.02

UNIČOV · PPG 1.71

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

xG gap -0.54 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

Hranice (H) 30.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Uničov (A) 45.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Hranice face Uničov in Czech-Republic - 3. liga - MSFL on Friday, August 7, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Hranice a 30% chance, the draw 25% and Uničov 45%, so Uničov are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Hranice and 1.7 for Uničov (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Hranice are averaging 1.02 points per game versus 1.71 for Uničov.

Hranice vs Uničov Prediction— Czech-Republic - 3. liga - MSFL

Match Preview & Prediction

More Czech-Republic - 3. liga - MSFL Predictions