Today / Brazil - Mineiro - 2 / Villa Nova vs Aymorés

Villa Nova vs Aymorés Prediction— Brazil - Mineiro - 2

Semi-finals ·Sunday, August 2, 2026, 19:00

Villa Nova

PPG 2.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

Aymorés

PPG 1.17 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap +0.36 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.4%0-18.3%0-24.7%0-31.7%0-4+0.6%1 1-011.0%1-112.3%1-26.9%1-32.6%1-4+0.9%2 2-08.1%2-19.1%2-25.1%2-31.9%2-4+0.7%3 3-04.0%3-14.5%3-22.5%3-30.9%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-02.1%4+-12.3%4+-21.3%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 47.1% — — —

Draw 25.1% — — —

Away win 27.8% — — —

Over 2.5 53.4% — — —

Over 3.5 32.2% — — —

BTTS 55.4% — — —

Home O1.5 45.4% — — —

Away O1.5 36.5% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 4 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 25%

O2.5 100%

BTTS 100%

Score Hit 100%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 32%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob55.4%

H 47% / xG 1.5-1.1 / O2.5 53% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.3%

#2 0–0 7.4%

#3 1–0 11.0%

#4 2–1 9.1%

#5 2–0 8.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Villa Nova1.5

Aymorés1.1

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.4% · O3.5 PROB 32.2%

Form & verdict PPG

VILLA NOVA · PPG 2.00

AYMORÉS · PPG 1.17

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.36 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Villa Nova (H) 47.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 25.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Aymorés (A) 27.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Villa Nova face Aymorés in Brazil - Mineiro - 2 on Sunday, August 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Villa Nova a 47% chance, the draw 25% and Aymorés 28%, so Villa Nova are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Villa Nova and 1.1 for Aymorés (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Villa Nova are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 1.17 for Aymorés.

Villa Nova vs Aymorés Prediction— Brazil - Mineiro - 2

Match Preview & Prediction

More Brazil - Mineiro - 2 Predictions