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BOA vs Aymorés Prediction— Brazil - Mineiro - 2

Quarter-finals ·Sunday, July 26, 2026, 13:30

BOA

PPG 2.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

Aymorés

PPG 1.20 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-012.2%0-112.8%0-26.7%0-32.4%0-4+0.8%1 1-012.9%1-113.5%1-27.1%1-32.5%1-4+0.8%2 2-06.8%2-17.1%2-23.7%2-31.3%2-4+0.4%3 3-02.4%3-12.5%3-21.3%3-30.5%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-00.8%4+-10.8%4+-20.4%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 36.8% — — —

Draw 28.8% — — —

Away win 34.3% — — —

Over 2.5 44.8% — — —

Over 3.5 24.3% — — —

BTTS 48.5% — — —

Home O1.5 35.0% — — —

Away O1.5 36.4% — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 33%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob48.5%

D 29% / xG 1.1-1.1 / U2.5 45% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.5%

#2 0–0 12.2%

#3 1–0 12.9%

#4 0–1 12.8%

#5 2–1 7.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

BOA1.1

Aymorés1.1

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 44.8% · O3.5 PROB 24.3%

Form & verdict PPG

BOA · PPG 2.00

AYMORÉS · PPG 1.20

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.00, combined xG 2.10 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

BOA (H) 36.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 28.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Aymorés (A) 34.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

BOA face Aymorés in Brazil - Mineiro - 2 on Sunday, July 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives BOA a 37% chance, the draw 29% and Aymorés 34%, so BOA are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for BOA and 1.1 for Aymorés (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 45% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, BOA are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 1.20 for Aymorés.

BOA vs Aymorés Prediction— Brazil - Mineiro - 2

Match Preview & Prediction

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