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Puerto Cabello II vs Fundación Lara Deportiva Prediction— Venezuela - Segunda División

Regular Season - 19 ·Saturday, July 25, 2026, 19:30

Puerto Cabello II

PPG 1.25 · HOME

UPCOMING

Fundación Lara Deportiva

PPG 1.75 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-011.8%0-113.8%0-28.1%0-33.2%0-4+1.2%1 1-011.4%1-113.3%1-27.8%1-33.1%1-4+1.2%2 2-05.5%2-16.4%2-23.8%2-31.5%2-4+0.6%3 3-01.8%3-12.1%3-21.2%3-30.5%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-00.5%4+-10.6%4+-20.4%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 34.9% — — —

Draw 29.7% — — —

Away win 35.4% — — —

Over 2.5 46.8% — — —

Over 3.5 26.3% — — —

BTTS 48.5% — — —

Home O1.5 35.0% — — —

Away O1.5 36.4% — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 2 33%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob48.5%

D 30% / xG 1.0-1.2 / U2.5 47% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.3%

#2 0–0 11.8%

#3 0–1 13.8%

#4 1–0 11.4%

#5 0–2 8.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Puerto Cabello II1.0

Fundación Lara Deportiva1.2

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 46.8% · O3.5 PROB 26.3%

Form & verdict PPG

PUERTO CABELLO II · PPG 1.25

FUNDACIÓN LARA DEPORTIVA · PPG 1.75

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap -0.21, combined xG 2.14 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Puerto Cabello II (H) 34.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 29.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Fundación Lara Deportiva (A) 35.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Puerto Cabello II face Fundación Lara Deportiva in Venezuela - Segunda División on Saturday, July 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Puerto Cabello II a 35% chance, the draw 30% and Fundación Lara Deportiva 35%, so Fundación Lara Deportiva are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Puerto Cabello II and 1.2 for Fundación Lara Deportiva (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Puerto Cabello II are averaging 1.25 points per game versus 1.75 for Fundación Lara Deportiva.

Puerto Cabello II vs Fundación Lara Deportiva Prediction— Venezuela - Segunda División

Match Preview & Prediction

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