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Ulytau vs Irtysh Prediction— Kazakhstan - Premier League

Regular Season - 19 ·Saturday, July 25, 2026, 13:00

Ulytau

PPG 2.22 · HOME

UPCOMING

Irtysh

PPG 0.56 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-017.0%0-18.9%0-22.3%0-30.4%0-4+0.1%1 1-021.2%1-111.1%1-22.9%1-30.5%1-4+0.1%2 2-013.3%2-16.9%2-21.8%2-30.3%2-4+0.0%3 3-05.5%3-12.9%3-20.8%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-02.3%4+-11.2%4+-20.3%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 49.7% 44.4% 2.25 +11.8%

Draw 30.2% 30.3% 3.30 -0.3%

Away win 20.2% 35.1% 2.85 -25.5%

Over 2.5 36.2% 51.8% 1.93 -30.1%

Over 3.5 17.8% 29.9% 3.35 -24.2%

BTTS 46.4% 58.8% 1.70 -21.1%

Home O1.5 37.6% 45.5% 2.20 -17.3%

Away O1.5 19.1% 39.2% 2.55 -30.8%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 42%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)0.5 BTTS prob46.4%

H 50% / xG 1.2-0.5 / U2.5 36% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 21.2%

#2 0–0 17.0%

#3 2–0 13.3%

#4 1–1 11.1%

#5 0–1 8.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Ulytau1.2

Irtysh0.5

COMBINED 1.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 36.2% · O3.5 PROB 17.8%

Form & verdict PPG

ULYTAU · PPG 2.22

IRTYSH · PPG 0.56

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.72 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Ulytau (H) 49.7%

ODDS 2.25 · IMPLIED 44.4% EV +11.8%

Draw 30.2%

ODDS 3.30 · IMPLIED 30.3% EV -0.3%

Irtysh (A) 20.2%

ODDS 2.85 · IMPLIED 35.1% EV -25.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Ulytau face Irtysh in Kazakhstan - Premier League on Saturday, July 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Ulytau a 50% chance, the draw 30% and Irtysh 20%, so Ulytau are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Ulytau and 0.5 for Irtysh (1.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 36% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Ulytau are averaging 2.22 points per game versus 0.56 for Irtysh.

Ulytau vs Irtysh Prediction— Kazakhstan - Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

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