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Dhofar vs Al Nasr Prediction— Oman - Professional League

Matchday 2 ·Sunday, September 6, 2026, 16:10

Dhofar

PPG 1.58 · HOME

LAST 5

L ····

UPCOMING

Al Nasr

PPG 1.77 · AWAY

LAST 5

W ····

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.0%0-19.5%0-26.5%0-32.9%0-4+1.3%1 1-09.1%1-112.4%1-28.4%1-33.8%1-4+1.7%2 2-05.9%2-18.0%2-25.5%2-32.5%2-4+1.1%3 3-02.6%3-13.5%3-22.4%3-31.1%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-01.1%4+-11.5%4+-21.0%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 32.9% 31.3% 3.20 +5.3%

Draw 28.4% 33.3% 3.00 -8.9%

Away win 38.6% 46.5% 2.15 -17.0%

Over 2.5 50.4% 42.0% 2.38 +20.0%

Over 3.5 28.7% 22.2% 4.50 +17.5%

BTTS 52.9% 47.6% 2.10 +11.1%

Home O1.5 38.4% 28.6% 3.50 +34.4%

Away O1.5 42.2% 38.2% 2.62 +10.6%

League track record ↗

Based on 8 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 38%

BTTS 50%

Score Hit 38%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 2 29%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob52.9%

D 28% / xG 1.3-1.4 / O2.5 50% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.4%

#2 1–2 8.4%

#3 0–0 7.0%

#4 0–1 9.5%

#5 2–1 8.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Dhofar1.3

Al Nasr1.4

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.4% · O3.5 PROB 28.7%

Form & verdict PPG

DHOFAR · PPG 1.58

AL NASR · PPG 1.77

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

Chance this pick lands

49%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.06 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Dhofar (H) 32.9%

ODDS 3.20 · IMPLIED 31.3% EV +5.3%

Draw 28.4%

ODDS 3.00 · IMPLIED 33.3% EV -8.9%

Al Nasr (A) 38.6%

ODDS 2.15 · IMPLIED 46.5% EV -17.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Dhofar face Al Nasr in Oman - Professional League on Sunday, September 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Dhofar a 33% chance, the draw 28% and Al Nasr 39%, so Al Nasr are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Dhofar and 1.4 for Al Nasr (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Dhofar are averaging 1.58 points per game versus 1.77 for Al Nasr. The best value bet our model finds is H/BTTS, with an expected value of +35.0%.

Dhofar vs Al Nasr Prediction— Oman - Professional League

Match Preview & Prediction

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