Today / Oman - Professional League / Al Seeb vs Sur

Al Seeb vs Sur Prediction— Oman - Professional League

Matchday 2 ·Sunday, September 6, 2026, 13:40

Al Seeb

PPG 2.18 · HOME

LAST 5

W ····

UPCOMING

Sur

PPG 1.12 · AWAY

LAST 5

L ····

// Model verdict

BTTS 47% chance

Model probability 52.9% vs bookmaker-implied 44.4% — a clear edge.

+19.0% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.2%0-17.5%0-23.9%0-31.4%0-4+0.5%1 1-011.4%1-111.9%1-26.2%1-32.2%1-4+0.7%2 2-09.0%2-19.5%2-25.0%2-31.7%2-4+0.6%3 3-04.8%3-15.0%3-22.6%3-30.9%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-02.7%4+-12.8%4+-21.5%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 48.8% 78.1% 1.28 -37.5%

Draw 26.6% 20.8% 4.80 +16.6%

Away win 24.7% 12.5% 8.00 +58.6%

Over 2.5 50.6% 57.8% 1.73 -12.5%

Over 3.5 28.9% 36.4% 2.75 -12.3%

BTTS 52.9% 44.4% 2.25 +19.0%

Home O1.5 47.5% 69.4% 1.44 -31.6%

Away O1.5 32.5% 16.7% 6.00 +95.0%

League track record ↗

Based on 8 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 38%

BTTS 50%

Score Hit 38%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 28%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob52.9%

H 49% / xG 1.6-1.0 / O2.5 51% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.9%

#2 1–0 11.4%

#3 2–1 9.5%

#4 2–0 9.0%

#5 0–0 7.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Al Seeb1.6

Sur1.0

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.6% · O3.5 PROB 28.9%

Form & verdict PPG

AL SEEB · PPG 2.18

SUR · PPG 1.12

✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

Chance this pick lands

47%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.54 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Al Seeb (H) 48.8%

ODDS 1.28 · IMPLIED 78.1% EV -37.5%

Draw 26.6%

ODDS 4.80 · IMPLIED 20.8% EV +16.6%

Sur (A) 24.7%

ODDS 8.00 · IMPLIED 12.5% EV +58.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

Al Seeb face Sur in Oman - Professional League on Sunday, September 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Al Seeb a 49% chance, the draw 27% and Sur 25%, so Al Seeb are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Al Seeb and 1.0 for Sur (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Al Seeb are averaging 2.18 points per game versus 1.12 for Sur. The best value bet our model finds is A/O25, with an expected value of +125.6%.

Al Seeb vs Sur Prediction— Oman - Professional League

Match Preview & Prediction

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