Today / Oman - Professional League / Bahla vs Al Seeb

Bahla vs Al Seeb Prediction— Oman - Professional League

Matchday 1 ·Sunday, August 30, 2026, 16:15

Bahla

PPG 1.53 · HOME

LAST 5

L ····

1 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Al Seeb

PPG 2.23 · AWAY

LAST 5

W ····

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 54.2% vs bookmaker-implied 51.8% — a real, if thin, edge.

+4.6% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.2%0-110.0%0-26.1%0-32.5%0-4+1.0%1 1-010.5%1-112.8%1-27.8%1-33.2%1-4+1.3%2 2-06.7%2-18.2%2-25.0%2-32.1%2-4+0.8%3 3-02.9%3-13.5%3-22.1%3-30.9%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-01.2%4+-11.5%4+-20.9%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 38.4% 19.6% 5.10 +95.8%

Draw 26.6% 27.8% 3.60 -2.5%

Away win 34.9% 62.5% 1.60 -44.2%

Over 2.5 50.5% 51.3% 1.95 -1.5%

Over 3.5 29.2% 29.0% 3.45 +0.4%

BTTS 54.2% 51.8% 1.93 +4.6%

Home O1.5 37.2% 25.0% 4.00 +48.8%

Away O1.5 36.6% 56.5% 1.77 -35.2%

League track record ↗

Based on 5 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 40%

O2.5 40%

BTTS 40%

Score Hit 40%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 21%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-3

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob54.2%

H 38% / xG 1.3-1.2 / O2.5 50% / BTTS 54%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.8%

#2 1–0 10.5%

#3 2–1 8.2%

#4 0–0 8.2%

#5 0–1 10.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Bahla1.3

Al Seeb1.2

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.5% · O3.5 PROB 29.2%

Form & verdict PPG

BAHLA · PPG 1.53

AL SEEB · PPG 2.23

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.06 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Bahla (H) 38.4%

ODDS 5.10 · IMPLIED 19.6% EV +95.8%

Draw 26.6%

ODDS 3.60 · IMPLIED 27.8% EV -2.5%

Al Seeb (A) 34.9%

ODDS 1.60 · IMPLIED 62.5% EV -44.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

Bahla face Al Seeb in Oman - Professional League on Sunday, August 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Bahla a 38% chance, the draw 27% and Al Seeb 35%, so Bahla are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Bahla and 1.2 for Al Seeb (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 54% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Bahla are averaging 1.53 points per game versus 2.23 for Al Seeb. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +77.9%. This match finished 1-3.