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OH Leuven W vs Gent W Prediction— Belgium - Super League Women

Matchday 1 ·Sunday, September 6, 2026, 15:00

OH Leuven W

PPG 2.29 · HOME

UPCOMING

Gent W

PPG 1.08 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS 47% chance

Model probability 57.1% vs bookmaker-implied 43.3% — a clear edge.

+31.9% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.1%0-18.0%0-25.3%0-32.3%0-4+1.0%1 1-09.0%1-111.9%1-27.8%1-33.4%1-4+1.5%2 2-06.7%2-18.8%2-25.8%2-32.6%2-4+1.1%3 3-03.3%3-14.4%3-22.9%3-31.3%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-01.7%4+-12.2%4+-21.5%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 42.8% 90.1% 1.11 -52.5%

Draw 23.6% 12.5% 8.00 +53.3%

Away win 33.5% 5.9% 17.00 +469.5%

Over 2.5 53.8% 71.4% 1.40 -24.7%

Over 3.5 33.2% 50.8% 1.97 -34.6%

BTTS 57.1% 43.3% 2.31 +31.9%

Home O1.5 39.9% — — —

Away O1.5 42.1% 14.8% 6.75 +184.2%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 34%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob57.1%

H 43% / xG 1.5-1.3 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 57%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.9%

#2 2–1 8.8%

#3 1–2 7.8%

#4 1–0 9.0%

#5 2–0 6.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

OH Leuven W1.5

Gent W1.3

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.8% · O3.5 PROB 33.2%

Form & verdict PPG

OH LEUVEN W · PPG 2.29

GENT W · PPG 1.08

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

Chance this pick lands

47%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.16 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

OH Leuven W (H) 42.8%

ODDS 1.11 · IMPLIED 90.1% EV -52.5%

Draw 23.6%

ODDS 8.00 · IMPLIED 12.5% EV +53.3%

Gent W (A) 33.5%

ODDS 17.00 · IMPLIED 5.9% EV +469.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

OH Leuven W face Gent W in Belgium - Super League Women on Sunday, September 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives OH Leuven W a 43% chance, the draw 24% and Gent W 34%, so OH Leuven W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for OH Leuven W and 1.3 for Gent W (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 57% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, OH Leuven W are averaging 2.29 points per game versus 1.08 for Gent W. The best value bet our model finds is AwayO15, with an expected value of +184.2%.

OH Leuven W vs Gent W Prediction— Belgium - Super League Women

Match Preview & Prediction

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