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Club Brugge W vs Standard Liege W Prediction— Belgium - Super League Women

Matchday 1 ·Saturday, September 5, 2026, 14:00

Club Brugge W

PPG 1.45 · HOME

LAST 5

W ····

3 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Standard Liege W

PPG 1.03 · AWAY

LAST 5

L ····

// Model verdict

BTTS 62% chance

Model probability 61.5% vs bookmaker-implied 62.1%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.0%0-17.2%0-25.1%0-32.4%0-4+1.2%1 1-07.8%1-111.2%1-28.0%1-33.8%1-4+1.9%2 2-06.1%2-18.8%2-26.3%2-33.0%2-4+1.5%3 3-03.2%3-14.6%3-23.3%3-31.6%3-4+0.8%4+ 4+-01.8%4+-12.5%4+-21.8%4+-30.9%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 42.1% 54.6% 1.83 -23.0%

Draw 23.4% 27.0% 3.70 -8.1%

Away win 34.6% 29.4% 3.40 +17.6%

Over 2.5 59.6% 57.8% 1.73 +3.1%

Over 3.5 36.4% 37.0% 2.70 -1.7%

BTTS 61.5% 62.1% 1.61 -1.0%

Home O1.5 46.3% 56.8% 1.76 -18.5%

Away O1.5 42.2% 37.2% 2.69 +13.5%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 48%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-1

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob61.5%

H 42% / xG 1.6-1.4 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.2%

#2 2–1 8.8%

#3 1–2 8.0%

#4 1–0 7.8%

#5 2–0 6.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Club Brugge W1.6

Standard Liege W1.4

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.6% · O3.5 PROB 36.4%

Form & verdict PPG

CLUB BRUGGE W · PPG 1.45

STANDARD LIEGE W · PPG 1.03

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

Chance this pick lands

62%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.13 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Club Brugge W (H) 42.1%

ODDS 1.83 · IMPLIED 54.6% EV -23.0%

Draw 23.4%

ODDS 3.70 · IMPLIED 27.0% EV -8.1%

Standard Liege W (A) 34.6%

ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV +17.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

Club Brugge W face Standard Liege W in Belgium - Super League Women on Saturday, September 5, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Club Brugge W a 42% chance, the draw 23% and Standard Liege W 35%, so Club Brugge W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Club Brugge W and 1.4 for Standard Liege W (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Club Brugge W are averaging 1.45 points per game versus 1.03 for Standard Liege W. The best value bet our model finds is AwayO15, with an expected value of +13.5%. This match finished 3-1.

Club Brugge W vs Standard Liege W Prediction— Belgium - Super League Women

Match Preview & Prediction

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