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Trindade vs Goiânia Prediction— Brazil - Goiano - 2

Matchday 10 ·Saturday, September 5, 2026, 20:00

Trindade

PPG 1.24 · HOME

LAST 5

LDDDL

UPCOMING

Goiânia

PPG 1.39 · AWAY

LAST 5

DLLWD

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-015.1%0-112.3%0-25.0%0-31.4%0-4+0.3%1 1-016.2%1-113.2%1-25.4%1-31.5%1-4+0.4%2 2-08.7%2-17.1%2-22.9%2-30.8%2-4+0.2%3 3-03.1%3-12.6%3-21.0%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.1%4+-10.9%4+-20.4%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 39.0% 34.7% 2.88 +12.3%

Draw 31.8% 33.3% 3.00 -4.6%

Away win 29.2% 44.4% 2.25 -20.6%

Over 2.5 38.8% 42.0% 2.38 -7.7%

Over 3.5 18.5% — — —

BTTS 48.0% — — —

Home O1.5 30.8% — — —

Away O1.5 23.5% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 7 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%

O2.5 43%

BTTS 43%

Score Hit 29%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 45%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob48.0%

D 32% / xG 1.1-0.8 / U2.5 39% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 15.1%

#2 1–0 16.2%

#3 1–1 13.2%

#4 0–1 12.3%

#5 2–0 8.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Trindade1.1

Goiânia0.8

COMBINED 1.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 38.8% · O3.5 PROB 18.5%

Form & verdict PPG

TRINDADE · PPG 1.24

GOIÂNIA · PPG 1.39

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected

Chance this pick lands

48%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.26, combined xG 1.89 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Trindade (H) 39.0%

ODDS 2.88 · IMPLIED 34.7% EV +12.3%

Draw 31.8%

ODDS 3.00 · IMPLIED 33.3% EV -4.6%

Goiânia (A) 29.2%

ODDS 2.25 · IMPLIED 44.4% EV -20.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

Trindade face Goiânia in Brazil - Goiano - 2 on Saturday, September 5, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Trindade a 39% chance, the draw 32% and Goiânia 29%, so Trindade are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Trindade and 0.8 for Goiânia (1.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 39% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Trindade are averaging 1.24 points per game versus 1.39 for Goiânia.

Trindade vs Goiânia Prediction— Brazil - Goiano - 2

Match Preview & Prediction

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