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ÍF II vs Hoyvík Prediction— Faroe-Islands - 1. Deild

Matchday 22 ·Friday, September 4, 2026, 16:30

ÍF II

PPG 1.44 · HOME

LAST 5

WWLWW

UPCOMING

Hoyvík

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

LAST 5

LWLLL

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 6.5 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 83.0% vs bookmaker-implied 69.4% — a clear edge.

+19.5% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.2%0-10.3%0-20.3%0-30.2%0-4+0.1%1 1-00.7%1-11.3%1-21.3%1-30.8%1-4+0.6%2 2-01.6%2-13.1%2-22.9%2-31.8%2-4+1.4%3 3-02.5%3-14.7%3-24.4%3-32.8%3-4+2.1%4+ 4+-010.0%4+-119.0%4+-218.1%4+-311.5%4+-4+8.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 72.4% 65.4% 1.53 +10.8%

Draw 14.1% 22.2% 4.50 -21.9%

Away win 13.5% 23.8% 4.20 -26.0%

Over 2.5 83.0% 69.4% 1.44 +19.5%

Over 3.5 70.3% 50.0% 2.00 +40.6%

BTTS 69.7% 67.6% 1.48 +3.2%

Home O1.5 78.3% 72.5% 1.38 +8.1%

Away O1.5 58.3% 36.8% 2.72 +58.6%

League track record ↗

Based on 29 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 83%

O2.5 86%

BTTS 59%

Score Hit 28%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 65%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)4.6 xG (away)1.9 BTTS prob69.7%

H 72% / xG 4.6-1.9 / O2.5 83% / BTTS 70%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 4–1 5.3%

#2 4–2 5.1%

#3 5–1 4.9%

#4 3–1 4.7%

#5 5–2 4.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

ÍF II4.6

Hoyvík1.9

COMBINED 6.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 83.0% · O3.5 PROB 70.3%

Form & verdict PPG

ÍF II · PPG 1.44

HOYVÍK · PPG 1.00

✓ SOLID - Strong home form

95%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +2.67 for Home, form 1.44 vs 1.00 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

ÍF II (H) 72.4%

ODDS 1.53 · IMPLIED 65.4% EV +10.8%

Draw 14.1%

ODDS 4.50 · IMPLIED 22.2% EV -21.9%

Hoyvík (A) 13.5%

ODDS 4.20 · IMPLIED 23.8% EV -26.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

ÍF II face Hoyvík in Faroe-Islands - 1. Deild on Friday, September 4, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives ÍF II a 72% chance, the draw 14% and Hoyvík 14%, so ÍF II are favoured to win. Expected goals are 4.6 for ÍF II and 1.9 for Hoyvík (6.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 4-1. There is a 83% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 70% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, ÍF II are averaging 1.44 points per game versus 1.00 for Hoyvík. The best value bet our model finds is TT_HomeO25, with an expected value of +83.7%.

ÍF II vs Hoyvík Prediction— Faroe-Islands - 1. Deild

Match Preview & Prediction

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