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ÍF II vs B36 II Prediction— Faroe-Islands - 1. Deild

Matchday 20 ·Saturday, August 22, 2026, 14:00

ÍF II

PPG 1.25 · HOME

LAST 5

WWLWW

9 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

B36 II

PPG 1.62 · AWAY

LAST 5

LWLLL

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 68.1% vs bookmaker-implied 74.6%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.1%0-13.8%0-23.5%0-32.2%0-4+1.5%1 1-04.2%1-17.7%1-27.1%1-34.4%1-4+3.1%2 2-04.3%2-17.9%2-27.3%2-34.5%2-4+3.1%3 3-02.9%3-15.4%3-24.9%3-33.0%3-4+2.1%4+ 4+-02.4%4+-14.4%4+-24.0%4+-32.5%4+-4+1.7%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 44.3% 48.8% 2.05 -9.2%

Draw 21.8% 25.6% 3.90 -9.0%

Away win 34.0% 37.0% 2.70 -8.2%

Over 2.5 67.3% 71.4% 1.40 -5.8%

Over 3.5 47.6% 52.1% 1.92 -8.6%

BTTS 68.1% 74.6% 1.34 -8.8%

Home O1.5 57.6% 62.9% 1.59 -8.4%

Away O1.5 55.2% 52.4% 1.91 +5.4%

League track record ↗

Based on 29 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 83%

O2.5 86%

BTTS 59%

Score Hit 28%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 61%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 9-3

xG (home)2.0 xG (away)1.8 BTTS prob68.1%

H 44% / xG 2.0-1.8 / O2.5 67% / BTTS 68%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 7.7%

#2 2–1 7.9%

#3 1–2 7.1%

#4 2–2 7.3%

#5 3–1 5.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

ÍF II2.0

B36 II1.8

COMBINED 3.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.3% · O3.5 PROB 47.6%

Form & verdict PPG

ÍF II · PPG 1.25

B36 II · PPG 1.62

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

60%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.19 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

ÍF II (H) 44.3%

ODDS 2.05 · IMPLIED 48.8% EV -9.2%

Draw 21.8%

ODDS 3.90 · IMPLIED 25.6% EV -9.0%

B36 II (A) 34.0%

ODDS 2.70 · IMPLIED 37.0% EV -8.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

ÍF II face B36 II in Faroe-Islands - 1. Deild on Saturday, August 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives ÍF II a 44% chance, the draw 22% and B36 II 34%, so ÍF II are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for ÍF II and 1.8 for B36 II (3.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 68% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, ÍF II are averaging 1.25 points per game versus 1.62 for B36 II. The best value bet our model finds is A/O25, with an expected value of +13.4%. This match finished 9-3.

ÍF II vs B36 II Prediction— Faroe-Islands - 1. Deild

Match Preview & Prediction

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