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B71 vs B36 II Prediction— Faroe-Islands - 1. Deild

Matchday 21 ·Saturday, August 29, 2026, 11:00

B71

PPG 2.50 · HOME

LAST 5

WWWWW

5 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME O1.5

B36 II

PPG 1.44 · AWAY

LAST 5

LWLLL

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

Model probability 78.3% vs bookmaker-implied 84.0%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.8%0-10.8%0-20.4%0-30.1%0-4+0.0%1 1-03.1%1-13.2%1-21.6%1-30.6%1-4+0.2%2 2-05.8%2-16.0%2-23.1%2-31.1%2-4+0.3%3 3-07.3%3-17.5%3-23.9%3-31.3%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-018.6%4+-119.2%4+-210.0%4+-33.4%4+-4+1.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 76.2% 82.0% 1.22 -7.0%

Draw 15.6% 16.7% 6.00 -3.8%

Away win 8.2% 12.5% 8.00 -20.6%

Over 2.5 76.6% 78.1% 1.28 -1.9%

Over 3.5 56.2% 59.5% 1.68 -5.6%

BTTS 63.0% 61.7% 1.62 +2.1%

Home O1.5 78.3% 84.0% 1.19 -6.8%

Away O1.5 32.6% 25.1% 3.98 +29.8%

League track record ↗

Based on 29 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 83%

O2.5 86%

BTTS 59%

Score Hit 28%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 83%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 5-3

xG (home)3.8 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob63.0%

H 76% / xG 3.8-1.0 / O2.5 77% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–1 7.5%

#2 3–0 7.3%

#3 4–1 7.1%

#4 4–0 6.9%

#5 1–1 3.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

B713.8

B36 II1.0

COMBINED 4.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 76.6% · O3.5 PROB 56.2%

Form & verdict PPG

B71 · PPG 2.50

B36 II · PPG 1.44

✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

95%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +2.75 for Home, form 2.50 vs 1.44 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

B71 (H) 76.2%

ODDS 1.22 · IMPLIED 82.0% EV -7.0%

Draw 15.6%

ODDS 6.00 · IMPLIED 16.7% EV -3.8%

B36 II (A) 8.2%

ODDS 8.00 · IMPLIED 12.5% EV -20.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

B71 face B36 II in Faroe-Islands - 1. Deild on Saturday, August 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives B71 a 76% chance, the draw 16% and B36 II 8%, so B71 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.8 for B71 and 1.0 for B36 II (4.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-1. There is a 77% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, B71 are averaging 2.50 points per game versus 1.44 for B36 II. The best value bet our model finds is AwayO15, with an expected value of +29.8%. This match finished 5-3.

B71 vs B36 II Prediction— Faroe-Islands - 1. Deild

Match Preview & Prediction

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