Today / Norway - 1. Division Women / Arna-Bjørnar W vs Åsane W

Arna-Bjørnar W vs Åsane W Prediction— Norway - 1. Division Women

Sunday, August 30, 2026, 13:00

Arna-Bjørnar W
PPG 2.29 · HOME
LAST 5
WWWWW
2 – 0
FULL TIME
✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS
Åsane W
PPG 2.25 · AWAY
LAST 5
WWWWL

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap +0.30, combined xG 2.21 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-011.0%0-110.5%0-25.0%0-31.6%0-4+0.5%1 1-013.8%1-113.1%1-26.3%1-32.0%1-4+0.6%2 2-08.6%2-18.2%2-23.9%2-31.3%2-4+0.4%3 3-03.6%3-13.5%3-21.6%3-30.5%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-01.5%4+-11.4%4+-20.7%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 46.4%
Draw 26.9%
Away win 26.8%
Over 2.5 50.5%
Over 3.5 28.7%
BTTS 52.4%
Home O1.5 36.3%
Away O1.5 25.7%

League track record

Based on 27 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 67%
O2.5 56%
BTTS 48%
Score Hit 33%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 13.8%
#2 1–1 13.1%
#3 0–0 11.0%
#4 2–0 8.6%
#5 2–1 8.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Arna-Bjørnar W1.3
Åsane W1.0

COMBINED 2.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.5% · O3.5 PROB 28.7%

Form & verdict PPG

ARNA-BJØRNAR W · PPG 2.29

ÅSANE W · PPG 2.25

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...
45%
HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.30, combined xG 2.21 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Arna-Bjørnar W (H) 46.4%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 26.9%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Åsane W (A) 26.8%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Arna-Bjørnar W face Åsane W in Norway - 1. Division Women on Sunday, August 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Arna-Bjørnar W a 46% chance, the draw 27% and Åsane W 27%, so Arna-Bjørnar W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Arna-Bjørnar W and 1.0 for Åsane W (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Arna-Bjørnar W are averaging 2.29 points per game versus 2.25 for Åsane W. This match finished 2-0.

PredictVantage

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