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Kroměříž II vs Kozlovice Prediction— Czech-Republic - 4. liga - Divizie E

Group E · Matchday 5 ·Sunday, August 30, 2026, 14:00

Kroměříž II

PPG 1.03 · HOME

LAST 5

LDLL ·

0 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · AWAY

Kozlovice

PPG 1.42 · AWAY

LAST 5

WDWW ·

// Model verdict

Away

xG gap -0.60 - moderate Away edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.1%0-19.1%0-28.1%0-34.8%0-4+3.2%1 1-06.1%1-110.9%1-29.7%1-35.8%1-4+3.8%2 2-03.6%2-16.4%2-25.7%2-33.4%2-4+2.3%3 3-01.4%3-12.6%3-22.3%3-31.4%3-4+0.9%4+ 4+-00.5%4+-11.0%4+-20.9%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 24.0% — — —

Draw 23.0% — — —

Away win 53.0% — — —

Over 2.5 59.7% — — —

Over 3.5 36.7% — — —

BTTS 55.0% — — —

Home O1.5 32.1% — — —

Away O1.5 47.9% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 11 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 64%

O2.5 82%

BTTS 73%

Score Hit 18%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.9%

#2 1–2 9.7%

#3 0–2 8.1%

#4 0–1✓ 9.1%

#5 2–1 6.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Kroměříž II1.2

Kozlovice1.8

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.7% · O3.5 PROB 36.7%

Form & verdict PPG

KROMĚŘÍŽ II · PPG 1.03

KOZLOVICE · PPG 1.42

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

xG gap -0.60 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

Kroměříž II (H) 24.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 23.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Kozlovice (A) 53.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Kroměříž II face Kozlovice in Czech-Republic - 4. liga - Divizie E on Sunday, August 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Kroměříž II a 24% chance, the draw 23% and Kozlovice 53%, so Kozlovice are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Kroměříž II and 1.8 for Kozlovice (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Kroměříž II are averaging 1.03 points per game versus 1.42 for Kozlovice. This match finished 0-1.

Kroměříž II vs Kozlovice Prediction— Czech-Republic - 4. liga - Divizie E

Match Preview & Prediction

More Czech-Republic - 4. liga - Divizie E Predictions