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Sokol Lanžhot vs Strání Prediction— Czech-Republic - 4. liga - Divizie E

Group E · Matchday 4 ·Sunday, August 23, 2026, 14:30

Sokol Lanžhot

PPG 1.52 · HOME

LAST 5

LWLL ·

1 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Strání

PPG 1.71 · AWAY

LAST 5

WDWW ·

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 54.7% vs bookmaker-implied 63.7%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.6%0-18.0%0-24.9%0-32.0%0-4+0.8%1 1-09.8%1-112.0%1-27.4%1-33.0%1-4+1.2%2 2-07.4%2-19.0%2-25.5%2-32.3%2-4+0.9%3 3-03.7%3-14.5%3-22.8%3-31.1%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-01.9%4+-12.4%4+-21.4%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 44.7% 48.8% 2.05 -8.4%

Draw 26.3% 25.0% 4.00 +3.1%

Away win 29.0% 37.0% 2.70 -13.0%

Over 2.5 53.5% 63.7% 1.57 -16.0%

Over 3.5 30.9% 41.7% 2.40 -25.8%

BTTS 54.7% 63.7% 1.57 -14.1%

Home O1.5 40.0% — — —

Away O1.5 37.3% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 11 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 64%

O2.5 82%

BTTS 73%

Score Hit 18%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 32%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-3

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob54.7%

H 45% / xG 1.5-1.2 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.0%

#2 2–1 9.0%

#3 1–0 9.8%

#4 2–0 7.4%

#5 0–0 6.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Sokol Lanžhot1.5

Strání1.2

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.5% · O3.5 PROB 30.9%

Form & verdict PPG

SOKOL LANŽHOT · PPG 1.52

STRÁNÍ · PPG 1.71

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

60%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.28 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Sokol Lanžhot (H) 44.7%

ODDS 2.05 · IMPLIED 48.8% EV -8.4%

Draw 26.3%

ODDS 4.00 · IMPLIED 25.0% EV +3.1%

Strání (A) 29.0%

ODDS 2.70 · IMPLIED 37.0% EV -13.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Sokol Lanžhot face Strání in Czech-Republic - 4. liga - Divizie E on Sunday, August 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sokol Lanžhot a 45% chance, the draw 26% and Strání 29%, so Sokol Lanžhot are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Sokol Lanžhot and 1.2 for Strání (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sokol Lanžhot are averaging 1.52 points per game versus 1.71 for Strání. This match finished 1-3.

Sokol Lanžhot vs Strání Prediction— Czech-Republic - 4. liga - Divizie E

Match Preview & Prediction

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