Today / Norway - 1. Division Women / Kolbotn W vs Start W

Kolbotn W vs Start W Prediction— Norway - 1. Division Women

Sunday, August 30, 2026, 13:00

Kolbotn W
PPG 1.00 · HOME
LAST 5
LWLLL
1 – 3
FULL TIME
✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5
Start W
PPG 2.29 · AWAY
LAST 5
WWLWW

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.7 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.4%0-16.0%0-27.6%0-36.4%0-4+7.3%1 1-02.9%1-17.3%1-29.2%1-37.7%1-4+8.9%2 2-01.8%2-14.4%2-25.6%2-34.7%2-4+5.4%3 3-00.7%3-11.8%3-22.3%3-31.9%3-4+2.2%4+ 4+-00.3%4+-10.7%4+-20.9%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.9%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 16.3%
Draw 19.0%
Away win 64.6%
Over 2.5 68.2%
Over 3.5 48.2%
BTTS 63.1%
Home O1.5 32.7%
Away O1.5 67.8%

League track record

Based on 27 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 67%
O2.5 56%
BTTS 48%
Score Hit 33%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–2 9.2%
#2 1–1 7.3%
#3 1–3 7.7%
#4 0–2 7.6%
#5 0–3 6.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Kolbotn W1.2
Start W2.5

COMBINED 3.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 68.2% · O3.5 PROB 48.2%

Form & verdict PPG

KOLBOTN W · PPG 1.00

START W · PPG 2.29

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value
45%
DANGER

xG gap -1.31 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

Kolbotn W (H) 16.3%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 19.0%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Start W (A) 64.6%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Kolbotn W face Start W in Norway - 1. Division Women on Sunday, August 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Kolbotn W a 16% chance, the draw 19% and Start W 65%, so Start W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Kolbotn W and 2.5 for Start W (3.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-2. There is a 68% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Kolbotn W are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 2.29 for Start W. This match finished 1-3.

PredictVantage

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