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Grei W vs Klepp W Prediction— Norway - 1. Division Women

Sunday, August 30, 2026, 12:15

Grei W

PPG 0.75 · HOME

LAST 5

WLLWW

4 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Klepp W

PPG 0.43 · AWAY

LAST 5

LWLLL

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 5.2 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.5%0-10.8%0-20.6%0-30.3%0-4+0.1%1 1-02.0%1-12.9%1-22.1%1-31.0%1-4+0.5%2 2-03.9%2-15.6%2-24.0%2-31.9%2-4+0.9%3 3-04.9%3-17.0%3-25.0%3-32.4%3-4+1.2%4+ 4+-012.5%4+-117.9%4+-212.8%4+-36.1%4+-4+3.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 68.9% — — —

Draw 15.4% — — —

Away win 15.7% — — —

Over 2.5 81.9% — — —

Over 3.5 58.4% — — —

BTTS 69.2% — — —

Home O1.5 78.3% — — —

Away O1.5 40.9% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 27 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 67%

O2.5 56%

BTTS 48%

Score Hit 33%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–1 7.0%

#2 4–1 6.6%

#3 2–2 4.0%

#4 2–1 5.6%

#5 1–1 2.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Grei W3.8

Klepp W1.4

COMBINED 5.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 81.9% · O3.5 PROB 58.4%

Form & verdict PPG

GREI W · PPG 0.75

KLEPP W · PPG 0.43

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +2.35 for Home, form 0.75 vs 0.43 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Grei W (H) 68.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 15.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Klepp W (A) 15.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Grei W face Klepp W in Norway - 1. Division Women on Sunday, August 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Grei W a 69% chance, the draw 15% and Klepp W 16%, so Grei W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.8 for Grei W and 1.4 for Klepp W (5.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-1. There is a 82% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 69% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Grei W are averaging 0.75 points per game versus 0.43 for Klepp W. This match finished 4-0.

Grei W vs Klepp W Prediction— Norway - 1. Division Women

Match Preview & Prediction

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